BigTramFan
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Posts posted by BigTramFan
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I think the Flames will trade Vladar and play Wolf as their backup. This gives them the cap space they need to keep all of their current roster players. Think they give it one more shot this upcoming season and if they are not in the running for playoffs at TDL then they trade Backlund Hanifin, Tanev, Zadorov and go for a speedy retool.
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2 hours ago, Ted Lasso said:
Thanks @mll
I was curious if teams could buy out a different player than the one who filed.
For example, if Höglander filed for arbitration, could we buyout Beauvillier?
Hoglander is 1 pro year short of being able to file for arbitration. But if he could and he did file then yes, team's that qualify for that second buy out window can buy out any player that has a cap hit over $4m and was on your roster at the previous trade deadline (such as Beauvillier).
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47 minutes ago, qwijibo said:
Based on their roster strengths and weaknesses I’d assume the only guy they’d be interested in swapping Pesce for would be Kuzmenko. Not saying Vancouver should do it, only that he’s the guy that seems to make sense from their end
The only other possibility is that they want to move an expiring Pesce to make room for Karlsson. Seems unlikely but if that is what they are doing, then CAR won't want a big contract coming back, they will want futures that they can use in the Karlsson deal.
Would love to see us go for it with some trades that seriously impact this roster:
To CAR: 2024 1st (top 10 protected) + Hoglander (rfa rights)
To VAN: Pesce (extension signed for $6.5m x 7 years)
To ARI: Boeser + Beauvillier + Rathbone + 2024 3rd round pick
To VAN: Crouse
(Arizona has use for some top 6 wingers now they are looking to compete)
Sign UFA Nosek $1.75m x 2, Watson $850k x 1
Roster:
Crouse Pettersson Kuzmenko
Mikheyev Miller Garland
Pearson Blueger Podkolzin
Joshua Nosek Watson
(Aman)
Hughes Pesce
Cole Hronek
Soucy Myers
(Irwin Juulsen)
Demko (Silovs)
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51 minutes ago, canuck73_3 said:
Although I would say no player who has never played in the NHL should have a clause like that. Reeks of entitlement from the get go.
Like Kuzmenko had in his contract last season?
And lots of Euro players have had for many years.
It’s up to the GM to agree or not agree to that, just like a NTC.No point in running someone down in the media if a player says “no, as per my contract I won’t be doing that”
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16 minutes ago, zimmy said:
I’m quite sure the passage of time has dulled my recollection of this player and I feel quite uninspired as to his possible impact if he were to return.
For others of you, the many years accumulated have clearly raised this player to almost mythical heights, not that you see him as some kind of saviour, but the memories you hold have served to stretch his skills somewhat.In either case, what is tough to reconcile is why this process is taking so long. Big T’s pupils must be in agony from eying this return for as long as he has.
I don't see many having expectations of Tryamkin that were raised to 'mythical heights'. I think most pro-Tryamkin posters have had realistic expectations of Tryamkin the player, based on his career in the KHL over the past 6 years (not his time in NHL as a rookie 7 years ago), with most thinking that he could probably handle a role as a 3rd pairing defense-first style of player in the NHL on a cheapish 1 year contract. Nothing mythical or "saviour" about it. This team has also needed more size on our back end, so he could also provide that.
Those that think he couldn't handle playing in the NHL are also entitled to their opinions, but I think opinions should be based on observing the player that Tryamkin is now, not what he was, or did, 7 years ago.
Finally, with the moves that PA has made this offseason, I can't see that we have a requirement for another 3rd pairing guy, so the chances of VAN offering a contract to Tryamkin seems to be very low now anyway.
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2 hours ago, cripplereh said:
Can't trade players on injury reserve which poolman is.
Where'd you hear that untruth?
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3 hours ago, Petey Castiglione said:
Hey Bob, I spent some time trying to find explanations about these charts but only came across baseball WAR charts. Any chance you got something like that laying around?
Appreciate the stats you post and want to better understand what we're looking at. Cheers.
3 hours ago, Bob.Loblaw said:I think it's also important to understand what the % relates to. It's not strictly 'wins above replacement' anymore, now that it is a % figure.
Wins above replacement used to compare a player to a 'replacement level' player (e.g. a 13th forward or 7th Dman on league minimum salary). But now with the % figure it is actually a ranking against all players in the league.
So as an example, if a forward has a ranking of 35% in a particular stat (let's say G/60, which is even strength goals per 60 minutes), it might show as red, which looks bad on a chart. But it just means that 65% of all forwards in the league score more G/60 than that player. This is not necessarily bad because you have to consider their role in the team and their deployment. Lots of players we don't expect them to have a high G/60 because that's not their role.
Probably the most important thing is not whether someone has a high WAR ranking, but whether that the player is proficient in the role that you have them playing in and that you are paying them a salary in line with that contribution. For example, you can accept that a 4th line player on league minimum salary would have one of the lowest G/60 on your roster (and therefore in the league) but you wouldn't want that for a guy earning $6m who is playing on your top line.
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36 minutes ago, Bob.Loblaw said:
If there was a bravery stat, he would be 100th percentile. The man will put his body on the line and do whatever it takes to help the team out. Predictably, that hasn't translated over in regards to his longevity. He's very slow now and that's really hurt his on-ice performance. He wasn't deployed defensively at all in Detroit, which might account for his added production. Whoever signs him should expect Detroit Sundqvist and not the more robust STL Sunny.
Not sure what you mean "not deployed defensively at all" do you mean on the PK? Because he is not known as a PKer. But he puts up points with limited minutes and isn't a defensive liability. He was deployed on many different lines in DET with roughly 50/50 oZ/Dz starts. Also I thought he looked great in the 1 playoff game he got for Minny. Skated the length of the ice on the rush and made it to the net for the tap in. Not sure why they didn't use him more when E-Ek was injured because he played well in that game.
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55 minutes ago, Angry Goose said:
counting stats wise yes, but last year was also AJs first full nhl year.
Sundqvist plays a lot like Granlund.
And most importantly Joshua has good chemistry w Aman. Id like to see how they look in year 2.
Who is AJ?
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1 hour ago, Bob.Loblaw said:
Sundqvist hasn't been the same because of his ACL injury in 2021. He played a tough physical game and it's worn him down.
Strange that your chart suggests Sundqvist is no good. I'd take a $800k C/RW at 6'3" 220lb that put up 28 pts last season playing 4th line minutes any day. Essentially he's an upgrade on Joshua (better offensively, better defensively).
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Love the idea of Sundqvist.
But I think Savard is well past it now. He did not show well on a stacked TB team in the 2021 playoffs while logging sheltered minutes on a contending team. He has not impressed for the last 2 seasons in Montreal with even strength on-ice GA/60 of 3.4 and short handed on-ice GA/60 of 10.0. These are very similar stats to Myers, who we wouldn't want to put on a top pairing with Hughes.
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18 minutes ago, canuckwings said:
So while the toronto media are all over the Bertuzzi/Domi signings today, I'm curious what are the realistic scenarios here for Leafs to be cap compliant before the season starts. They haven't signed Samsonov, who i guess will go to salary arbitration. With the year he just had he shouldn't be getting anything lower than 4M.
Buying out Murray seems to the quickest way to shed cap. It's also possible they're looking to move him with a draft pick. If they don't want to retain it'd have to be a first round pick or multiple picks.
The tight cap is helping high scoring team like leafs to sign good players who will certainly be motivated to perform on a one year contract.
They just need to be below a total cap hit of $89.125m at the start of the season (i.e. $83.5m + $5.625m of Muzzin on LTIR).
They are currently $2.4m over that limit and with Samsonov potentially going to arbitration.
If I had to guess I would say they likely have trade(s) lined up to move out either Nylander or Brodie & Murray depending on the outcome of any arbitration.
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22 minutes ago, greenbean30 said:
Definitely seems like they've put themselves in a bad place, rather than doing something with one of the big 4 earlier. And I don't even think just Nylander going will get them under the cap.
Also they will want zero cap coming back, so that drops the teams able to trade for him substantially, and those teams won't want to give up futures or picks.
Trading Nylander will definitely take them under the cap limit when the LTIR for Muzzin is accounted for. I don't think they would sign Domi without another trade already close to being finalised.
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8 minutes ago, Wilbur said:
This is Toronto we're talking about. They'll just send Murray and whatever other high priced mistake they made to Robidas Island to be cap complaint.
Like we have done with Pearson and Poolman?
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2 minutes ago, Losing With Pride said:
Definitely Murray.
I don't think moving Murray would be enough to cover signing both Samsonov and Domi. Would have to be Murray + another player. Or just one larger contract like Nylander.
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3 hours ago, HorvatToBaertschi said:
Capfriendly shows me 20 players, -5.5 million. So Brodie buyout puts them at 19 players and still over the cap
They still have $568k in cap space when you account for Muzzin being on LTIR.
They also have 21 roster players when you include Robertson (who is listed as IR, but is included in the cap hit totals).
If they waived someone such as Timmins ($1.1m) then they would have $1.668m in cap space - enough to add 2 league more players and ice a 22 man roster.
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Blue eyes. Teddy's got
Blue eyes, and I am home and
I am home again
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Think we will still try and trade one of our top 9 wingers to create a little more cap space.
Something like Beau to ARI for 3rd round pick. ARI are looking to compete and Beau is a young, versatile winger that can provide good scoring. If the fit isn't good in ARI they can trade him at the 2024 TDL for a pick.
VAN signs someone like Fischer for $1.25m x 2 years as a defensive, bottom 6 forward.
Our projected opening night lineup:
Kuz - EP - Mik
Garland - Miller - Boeser
Pearson - Blueger - Podz
Joshua - Aman - Fischer
(Hogs)
Hughes - Cole
Soucy - Hronek
Brisebois - Myers
(Irwin - Woo)
Demko (Silovs)
Poolman on IR and still have $300k of cap space
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3 minutes ago, aGENT said:
Fischer and Asplund still available it seems...
With Pearson potentially coming back, probably need to trade Beauvillier to create the space to afford another bottom 6 defensive forward.
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13 minutes ago, Bob.Loblaw said:
Even more reason to let them walk
Yes we all know why NJD didn't qualify him. My original comment was that he should go to UFA instead of signing a low ball non-QO from NJD.
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17 hours ago, Bob.Loblaw said:
It's the arbitration prices teams can’t afford. Guys like him and Sprong were going to get awarded over $2.5+ and it would get declined anyway.
Clubs can't decline player elected arbitration settlements of less than $4.5m.
But I see McLeod settled for a $1.4m and as I said I think he would have done much better in the open market.
He likely wanted to stay with NJD.
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5 minutes ago, Provost said:
What? These are are all around that 23-25 age and I said they had upside.
Not a lot of 28 year olds suddenly bloom into something spectacular. The average NHL career is 4.5 years... not a lot of 28 and 30 year olds who were fringe guys their entire careers suddenly bloom into high end playersSorry wasn't directed at you. Just something that someone said yesterday about a 24 year old player
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40 minutes ago, mll said:
He didn't get qualified because he is arbitration eligible and they are worried that it could lead to an overpay if they end up in arbitration. Quite a few teams in that situation. Wild would have brought back Steel for example but with such limited cap space they couldn't risk the arbitration award.
Teams can't walk away if the award is below ~4.5M.
McLeod should go UFA. I think he will do better on the open market than he will do taking a low ball offer from NJD
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2 hours ago, Provost said:
I have been saying there were going to be a lot of solid young players who won’t be qualified due to worries about arb awards.
You could make a good bottom half of a roster with some of the names here and they are young enough to have lots of upside still.
Apparently if you are 24 years or older, you aren't allowed to have any upside...
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[Report] 22 players elect salary arbitration
in Trades, Rumours, Signings
Posted
We can't buy anyone else out, our only window has passed. I was just answering a theoretical question about the second buyout window that some teams get due to arbitration filings.