Guile
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Posts posted by Guile
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Myers and Garland traded in the offseason. Garland is replaced from within given our glut of winger's. Bargain bin shopping for inexpensive defensive depth; I won't be horribly upset if they don't find a top-4 D this offseason, that can wait. Resign Schenn if he's open to it. Assuming a replacement RHD costs no more than 1.5M, removing Garland (2.5-5M) and Myers (3-6M) plus adding the replacement D saves 4-5M minimum, depending on retention %.
Definitely expect to retain on Myers, and wouldn't mind retaining on Garland even though we then only have 1 retention slot for TDL. I would use that final slot (or both, if Garland goes without retention) on either Boeser or Beauvilier at the 2024 TDL. I'm very reluctant to hope for any sort of skating or just hustle mentality improvement from Brock after this long in the league, so I feel it's best if the Canucks move on from him and his inefficient cap, but I would hate to give him up just for the sake of creating room without a decent return (2nd or B prospect).
Hoping for some miracle on the OEL front but I am expecting him to remain a Canuck next year, paired with a mobile guy (either Hronek or Bear) to attempt to mask his horrendous foot speed. Really hoping to avoid a buyout on him.
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8 hours ago, Phil_314 said:
I think we'll have to trade Beauvillier (and they're probably trying to find him a new home by this offseason if he finishes the year well).
Boeser/ Garland will likely be necessary moves too, seeing how we've already got multiple wings (Kuzmenko/ Mikheyev/ Kravtsov/ Hoglander/ Podkolzin, perhaps even Lekkerimaki or Klimovich) either with draft pedigree, or who we bought low on. Myers will probably be next TDL. I could see us try to dump either Bear or Dermott for a pick as well, seeing as they're both pending RFAs and we likely can't retain both. That being said, I hope we could somehow package Beauvillier and Myers with retention for next year to some team like Anaheim (or if the Red Wings realize they need an all-round guy like Myers at a discount after trading Hronek away).7 hours ago, Coconuts said:That's a pretty good idea actually, frees up 4.1M and likely brings back positive assets if he continues to produce the way he has with Pettersson. I know folks are gonna argue that noooo, he fits really well with Petterson but hey, Pettersson looks like the kind of player who'll work well with anyone. Plus, that's why he has Kuzmenko as a running mate. He's already got his guy.
Trade Beau and bump up one of Boeser, Garland, or Kravtsov. Wouldn't be remotely surprised to see us going into next season with Boeser still in our top six. If retaining 1M on Beau could get us a 1st I'd pull trigger and run, just need Petey to keep pumping up his numbers.
Trading Beauvilier 50% retained at the TDL is also a great option. Yes, this doesn't solve our cap challenges for the start of the year and will greatly depend on other transactions, but a 2.1M cap hit speedy second line winger who elevates in the playoffs is a valuable asset. Niederreiter (4M) got a second with no retention. Have to think Beau is worth at least that, perhaps more, if the market stays similar next year and he has an 80+ game track record of top 6 play with the Canucks.
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1 hour ago, DeNiro said:
We need two top 4 Dmen still.
Unreasonable to think Livingstone could just slot into the top pair if he signed here. Also not fair to Hughes to pair him with a rookie.
We need to trade Garland and Myers and either buyout OEL or trade Boeser.
This management group has a TON of work to do and it’s getting even harder.
You're absolutely right - my pairing of Hughes with Livingstone certainly isn't to say that Livingstone will step into a top four. From the few minutes of scouting clips I've watched, he seems to be a smart, mobile defender. I'm a fan of playing smart players together and I think that Quinn could take pressure off him by being our best breakout player and (hopefully) preventing too many extended D zone shifts for the rookie. Perhaps Hronek is paired with Quinn instead and they become a very strong duo.
I also agree that the Canucks only have two top 4 defenders and need another two before becoming contenders. From my perspective, no chance that happens next year. I think a year of patience, cap clearing moves, and avoiding short term fixes is the best path forward, and like you, I don't think we have the cap flexibility or draft capital to finish the roster overhaul next season alone.
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55 minutes ago, Smashian Kassian said:
I'd like to see them move Boeser & Myers. They are also going to need a good 3C, and maybe a bottom pair D or 2.
Beauvillier - Pettersson - Kuzmenko
Mikheyev - Miller - Garland
Kravtsov - ???? - Podkolzin
Joshua - Aman - ????
Hughes - Bear/Hronek
OEL - Hronek/Bear
??? - ???
In limbo; Dermott, Poolman, Burroughs, Studnicka, Dries
I'm torn between these two - what makes you prefer moving Boeser over Garland? For me, Garland fits the Tocchet team style better than Boeser and has been playing fairly well since the coaching change. I think that and his contract makes him easier to move for "good" value. I'd love to see a healthy Mikheyev with Miller and Boeser to see if BB produces a little more and hides some flaws with help from Mik's speed. Total guesswork, but just my fantasy.
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SO, one big circled date on the calendar has passed. What are the top few moves from our CDC GMs for the betterment of this franchise between now and next season that are at least partially realistic/expected (ie no trading OEL or landing Bedard type miracles)?
Obvious things we'd probably all like to see:
Lose aplenty, draft an elite C prospect with our 2023 1st
Sign RD College FA Jake Livingstone
Trade Myers 50% retained after his July 1 bonus
Things I think we're likely to see:
JT Miller remains a Canuck
Pearson is moved or bought out, and no, I haven't checked if a buyout is logical
Dermott not resigned
RD Filip Johansson makes the 23-man starting roster
OEL remains a Canuck (I don't want that buyout but I'd desperately like to see him playing 3 LD minutes / role)
Things I'd really like to see:
Garland traded/packaged for a YOUNG, developing D (not an older Marcus Pettersson or equivalent win-now option) or pick(s) after having a strong finish to the year playing top 6 under Tocchet.
Bear re-signed if the cap hit matches a 3 RD price.
A Boeser trade in off-season so he gets a fresh start OR one last chance for a calm, healing off-season to revive his game, making him a logical 2024 TDL trade while NOT depressed in value.
No premium FA signings
2023-24 Opening Night Lineup
Kuzmenko - EP - Beauvilier
Mikheyev - Miller - Boeser
Kravtsov - Raty - Podkolzin
Hoglander - Aman - Studnicka/Joshua
L. Karlsson
Hughes - Livingstone
XXXX (Garland D?) - Hronek
OEL - Bear
XXXX - Johansson
Demko
Cheap backup (leave Silovs in Abby 1 more year)
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1 hour ago, Kootenay Gold said:
Having just Dries, Pederson and Delia back in the lineup for Abby would, IMO, put them in serious contention to go all the way to the Calder Cup finals.
Both Dries and Pederson nominally play as centers when playing for Abby, yes? Is Dowling playing C just out of necessity, with those two called up, and is a winger by default?
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As many others on these forums have stated, it's very exciting to see the progress being made by our young guys in Abby; here's hoping they all stay put until next season. I have tickets to see the parent Canucks play the Wild on March 2, but I'm thinking I'll have to make the drive out to Abbotsford to watch a baby Nucks game in the next month or two as well.
If healthy and bolstered by the current call-ups, what does Abby's best lineup look like? Based on names alone, I'll give it a shot, but hoping for feedback from the regular viewers. No clue who has chemistry with who, aside from the 4th line and top two D pairs below.
Di Giuseppe - Dries - Dowling
Podz - Pederson - Karlsson
Hogz - Aman - Lockwood
Bains - Wouters - Klimovich
Brisebois - Juulsen
Wolanin - Woo
Kalynuk - Rathbone / AKL?
Silovs / Delia
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For those who watch Abby closely, what's the best healthy lineup they could ice come playoff time? Compared to last night's lineup below, who lines up where if they get all injured / called up guys back, including Podz, Petan, Di Giuseppe, Juulsen, Dowling, Bailey? I'm not up on the latest injury reports so if a guy is slated to be out for the season and not available in the playoffs, leave him out.
That defence looks really strong to my eye but I feel like they're missing a lot of potential top six or middle six forwards.
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@Chip Kelly I'll echo what the rest of the folks on here have said, and add that another great book is "The only guide to a winning investment strategy you'll ever need" by Larry Swedroe. My old man gave me that book and a cheque for my 18th birthday and I couldn't be more grateful - that was the start of my financial education. I'd say pick your first investment (I'd go a diverse ETF like VSP, XEQT, VUN, etc.) and then really monitor how it behaves over time as various pieces of news and world events occur. That will teach you what you need to know to progress into other ETFs that cover companies of different sizes, different growth/value characteristics, and different regions of the world.
I started with an investment into CIBC just to start monitoring and learning like I mentioned above, then built out my portfolio with a few core ETFs to get all the size/region exposure I wanted, and then started trying individual stock picking once I had built a solid base portfolio and a base of knowledge about the market. I'd caution against jumping right into picking individual stocks, I know I would have made many more mistakes along the way.
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I have a question or two for some of the folks on here who participate in short-term investing/speculation/individual stock selection and are much more active managers than myself, just out of interest and for my own learning. To be clear, I consider myself too inexperienced (been investing just 2.5 years) and underfunded to delve into strategies with higher risk, plus I first learned about investing from authors with the perspective that EMH and low-cost indexing/asset allocation is the winning strategy for most individual investors and that perspective is hard to shake (nor should it be shaken, perhaps). That said, this year has offered up some shockingly profitable short-term opportunities, as I've observed by watching the markets and reading through this thread, at times.
So, essentially, I'd love to hear if the bolded strategies have worked for people consistently, producing returns that exceed "the market" by an amount that compensates for the additional effort it takes to research and select individual up-and-comers, momentum trades, and/or recent IPOs. I also am interested in knowing how large a portion of a portfolio you devote to such strategies and if you have a more conservative core of ETFs and/or blue chip companies. What are your thoughts on indexing? Thanks to the pandemic, I saw the merits of picking individual stocks with healthy balance sheets and stable/growing dividends vs buying an index and potentially being weighed down by the companies in financial distress, and have shifted my buys this year accordingly (XSU in April but then BPY-UN, GWO, SU, EMA, GRT-UN, ENB between May and October), but I still believe a portfolio of ETFs with proper asset allocation producing market returns will be a quality strategy over my 40+ year investment horizon.
Finally, for anyone, thoughts on gold's recent pullback and future outlook? I see a ton of market optimism due to vaccine news currently, but I think that QE and the next stimulus package will really push gold prices in the next couple years. I have some XGD from May 2019 at an average cost of 11.40, which was pure beginner's luck, but also bought Barrick a couple months ago and am down a healthy 22%, so been thinking about averaging down there.
Thanks in advance!
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Comets up 2-0 on two goals from the fourth line!
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Comets dominating - Rafferty is super smooth.
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Juolevi-Sautner
Brisebois-Rafferty
Teves-Chatfield I believe
Fourth Line Arseneau-Bancks-Perron
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So far,
Bailey-Gaudette-MacEwen
Boucher-Camper-Lind
Baertschi-Jasek-Goldy
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48 minutes ago, Ossi Vaananen said:
And then this happens: (Baer on top line)
Love the first line there, for me that's our starting second line. I see Baer fitting there better than Pearson in general, though they could certainly switch to put a bigger-bodied Pearson up there for heavy games.
Marky gets the start, which is great for him. I expect a quality game from this group. Excited to see Benn-Stecher and I'm intrigued by Rafferty. He's been entertaining to watch so far with his confidence and skating. Hopefully Edmonton plays a more NHL-like lineup tonight and we get a good challenge!
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Chatfield just absolutely dumped someone in the corner, 1v1 battle drill. He competes. Regarding Macewens skating, he doesn't look out of place at all, certainly a better skater than Gads or Bailey. If it tells you anything about him, he paired himself with Hughes in these battle drills. Speaking of Bailey, he's a handful in front of the net.
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Gadjovich is adept at taking hard passes along the ice and elevating them as tips. OJ throws quality, accurate passes consistently.
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Yep, macewen has a huge leadership role at this camp, it's clear within the first ten mins. He and Bailey are huge guys. Those two plus jasek, gadjovich, and Lind are the first five in line for these drills. Brisebois looks confident. Woo is a blocky guy, super thick. Chatfield looks like he has fun every second on the ice
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On the scene at practice sitting across the rink from Green, Ryan Johnson, and various other hockey minds. Skating and stickhandling drills right now. I believe Zac Mac is leading the white group in each drill with a fresh flowcut. Lukas jasek looks good on his edges, cuts and changes direction well.
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Watching this was really enjoyable.
Negative (yet positive) stuff first: So rarely did I hear Hutton, Pouliot, or Gudbranson involved in a scoring play, though Ben had a few moments in the half of the season. Great to know that they have been moved on. It also sucked not to hear Baertschi much, 53 out of 65 games missed at one point... brutal for him, I hope he has a healthy year.
The encouraging things I was reminded of from watching this:
- So excited for Hughes.
- Horvat is a special player, and I actually wouldn't mind seeing him play with Roussel some more this season.
- Motte had quite a good year.
- Jake is still so full of potential and room to grow.
- Edler and Stecher are both so fun to watch, in very different ways.
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EP and Boeser
Thanks for posting this!
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Just now, theo5789 said:
Surprised Marleau is willing to go to Carolina. That seems like a steep price to dump one year.
Friedman suggests the Canes will buy him out, and that he might return to San Jose on a short term cheap deal. Similar to what Perry likely does.
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On 6/6/2019 at 11:30 PM, MrCanuck94 said:
I could be mistaken, but I'm pretty sure he's been in Vancouver the whole time while rehabbing the injury.
Ah, that would be interesting if so - I know players are given quite a lot of freedom from the team's influence per the CBA during the summer, but perhaps that's a choice he made. I couldn't say!
On 6/7/2019 at 9:35 AM, aGENT said:I hope you quickly handed him a horse shoe, rabbit's foot and your lucky underpants.
22 hours ago, Kanukfanatic said:Did you pop any of the bubble wrap on him??
22 hours ago, Ronaldoescobar said:Was he looking at a cell phone? If so then we have some serious concerns (fortnite is on mobile i believe) ;P
No cell phone, no bubble wrap - I just walked by, let him be, and marvelled at his gorgeous dimples.
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Just saw OJ walking in downtown Vancouver - I assume he's here for this visit to the doctor Benning mentioned.
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Confirmed!
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If we win Bedard what’s your next move?
in Proposals and Armchair GM'ing
Posted
OP, great topic! I'd say not too much changes other than what AJ suggests here. Continue moving out inefficient / ill-fitting cap and reallocate money to defensive defensemen. Maybe Bedard's presence makes it extra logical to move both Garland and Boeser.
If anything, it probably makes management more aggressive in clearing cap sooner than later. Does it suddenly make an OEL + future 1st cap dump make sense so we maximize Bedard's ELC time? Not that I'm advocating for that; just speculating how Allvin would respond.