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(Official) 2019-2020 NHL Magic Number Thread

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Clinching Numbers (For Vancouver)

Playoffs:

Projected Points: 91 / +1

Projected Magic #: 8.5

Record to Achieve: 8-10-1

Division:

Projected Points: 99

Projected Magic #: 12.5

Record to Achieve: 12-6-1

Conference:

Projected Points: 109

Projected Magic #: 17.5

Record to Achieve: 17-1-1

President's Trophy:

Projected Points: 117 / +1

Projected Magic #: 21.5

Record to Achieve: Not Achievable


Updated: Feb 27th

 

The Ottawa Senators have been eliminated from division, conference and president's trophy contention.

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Clinching Numbers (For Vancouver)

Playoffs:

Projected Points: 92 / +1

Projected Magic #: 9.0

Record to Achieve: 9-9-0

Division:

Projected Points: 100 / +1

Projected Magic #: 13.0

Record to Achieve: 13-5-0

Conference:

Projected Points: 110 / +1

Projected Magic #: 18.0

Record to Achieve: 18-0-0

President's Trophy:

Projected Points: 118 / +1

Projected Magic #: 22.0

Record to Achieve: Not Achievable


Updated: Feb 29th

 

The Anaheim Ducks and San Jose Sharks are one pt loss away from being eliminated from President's Trophy Contention.

The Los Angeles Kings are one pt loss away from being eliminated from Western Conference contention. 

The Boston Bruins are the first team to have more points than the playoff point pace. The Atlantic Division requires about 93 points to make the playoffs and the Bruins sit at 94. While not clinched officially, they have unofficially clinched a playoff spot.

 

Vancouver still has control over its destiny, though the 'predicted' cut off point in the west is now 93-94 points, so a 10-8-0 record would be better for them.

Edited by Shaelon
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Clinching Numbers (For Vancouver)

Playoffs:

Projected Points: 91 / -1

Projected Magic #: 8.5

Record to Achieve: 8-9-0

Division:

Projected Points: 99 / -1

Projected Magic #: 12.5

Record to Achieve: 12-4-1

Conference:

Projected Points: 110 / No Change

Projected Magic #: 18.0

Record to Achieve: Not Achievable

President's Trophy:

Projected Points: 118 / No Change

Projected Magic #: 22.0

Record to Achieve: Not Achievable


Updated: March 1st

 

The Minnesota Loss gave Vancouver another point to work with as the point pace fell to 91 points. Canucks retain a 3 pt edge on Minnesota and Calgary, so they have room for another loss before they must win games. Vancouver could do itself a huge favour by winning on Wednesday to at least get some point separation. They wont fall below the bar before the game on Wednesday.

 

The western conference is no longer realistic or possible for Vancouver if they win out their games, point pace at 110 points and Vancouver can only finish with 108.

Edited by Shaelon
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Clinching Numbers (For Vancouver)

Playoffs:

Projected Points: 90 / -1

Projected Magic #: 8.0

Record to Achieve: 8-8-0

Division:

Projected Points: 100 / +1

Projected Magic #: 13.0

Record to Achieve: 13-3-0

Conference:

Projected Points: 111 / +1

Projected Magic #: 18.5

Record to Achieve: Not Achievable

President's Trophy:

Projected Points: 118 / No Change

Projected Magic #: 22.0

Record to Achieve: Not Achievable


Updated: March 4th

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11 minutes ago, Shaelon said:

Clinching Numbers (For Vancouver)

Playoffs:

Projected Points: 90 / -1

Projected Magic #: 8.0

Record to Achieve: 8-8-0

Division:

Projected Points: 100 / +1

Projected Magic #: 13.0

Record to Achieve: 13-3-0

Conference:

Projected Points: 111 / +1

Projected Magic #: 18.5

Record to Achieve: Not Achievable

President's Trophy:

Projected Points: 118 / No Change

Projected Magic #: 22.0

Record to Achieve: Not Achievable


Updated: March 4th

90 points for playoffs? Well you had a good run on this thread but 90 points? What the other 5 teams going to lose? They play each other, Chicago is within reach of the Canucks now, 6 points back. Two losses and ?

 

Sorry based on past seasons and current standings it is looking like close to 96 points to make the show. And climbing not going down.

 

Just finishing my morning coffee now;)

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14 hours ago, Lazurus said:

90 points for playoffs? Well you had a good run on this thread but 90 points? What the other 5 teams going to lose? They play each other, Chicago is within reach of the Canucks now, 6 points back. Two losses and ?

 

Sorry based on past seasons and current standings it is looking like close to 96 points to make the show. And climbing not going down.

 

Just finishing my morning coffee now;)

I think if you look at his projections they are very reasonable to be at 90 for the “moment”. It’s not that this number is constant but rather relative to the pace that teams are playing at. Assuming a 96 cutoff means most teams near or below the bar would have to play at around 11-5 (Min, Nsh, Van) and 11-3 (Wpg, Ari)  for the rest of the season. With the amount of games left and like you said, playing against each other I doubt 11-3 is realistic for the jets and yotes. And don’t see nsh or van going 11-5 (sadly) from what we’ve seen. Maybe Min keeps it up? But what about the other teams who shown to be mediocre and hovering mostly around .500? At the end of it I think the bar does get raised to 93 I mean last years was 90 and year before that was 95 and teams don’t seem to be playing well enough to raise that bar.

Edited by freshhprince95
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Clinching Numbers (For Vancouver)

Playoffs:

Projected Points: 92 / +2

Projected Magic #: 8.0

Record to Achieve: 8-7-0

Division:

Projected Points: 98 / -2

Projected Magic #: 11.0

Record to Achieve: 11-4-0

Conference:

Projected Points: 110 / -1

Projected Magic #: 17.0

Record to Achieve: Not Achievable

President's Trophy:

Projected Points: 119 / +1

Projected Magic #: 22.5

Record to Achieve: Not Achievable


Updated: March 6th

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On 3/5/2020 at 6:30 PM, freshhprince95 said:

I think if you look at his projections they are very reasonable to be at 90 for the “moment”. It’s not that this number is constant but rather relative to the pace that teams are playing at. Assuming a 96 cutoff means most teams near or below the bar would have to play at around 11-5 (Min, Nsh, Van) and 11-3 (Wpg, Ari)  for the rest of the season. With the amount of games left and like you said, playing against each other I doubt 11-3 is realistic for the jets and yotes. And don’t see nsh or van going 11-5 (sadly) from what we’ve seen. Maybe Min keeps it up? But what about the other teams who shown to be mediocre and hovering mostly around .500? At the end of it I think the bar does get raised to 93 I mean last years was 90 and year before that was 95 and teams don’t seem to be playing well enough to raise that bar.

The final point # will be between 89-93, most likely around 92 or 93 points but we'll see. It has been moving between 89-92 for the last 1.5 months.

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On 1/28/2020 at 9:26 PM, Shaelon said:

Hi guys, the magic number game is back, and it'll be more streamlined and simplified moving forward! I will be providing text updates as the season finishes up. The last time I did a chart was back in 2014-2015 when the canucks made the playoffs.

 

image.thumb.png.26a2f142f46e6b38263b2508492beffa.png

 

 

Right now, here is the Canucks Magic #:

 

Clinching Numbers (For Vancouver)

Playoffs:

Projected Points: 92

Projected Magic #: 8.0

Record to Achieve: 8-7-0

Division:

Projected Points: 98

Projected Magic #: 11.0

Record to Achieve: 11-4-0

Conference:

Projected Points: 110

Projected Magic #: 17.0

Record to Achieve: Not Achievable

President's Trophy:

Projected Points: 119

Projected Magic #: 22.5

Record to Achieve: Not Achievable


Updated: March 6th

what is fun about all this is 8-7 record gets us in the playoffs and a 9-6 record could easily get us a top 3 in the pacific division 

 

this is what makes this season so fun to watch

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2 minutes ago, Arrow 1983 said:

what is fun about all this is 8-7 record gets us in the playoffs and a 9-6 record could easily get us a top 3 in the pacific division 

 

this is what makes this season so fun to watch

if we win both our games against vegas, then the division title is still possible, but going to be very tough.

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8 minutes ago, Arrow 1983 said:

The Calgary game could be Hugh 

 

The Vegas games I'm just hoping they split 

I think final standings will be:
1. EDM (2nd W)
2. VGK
3. VAN
4. CGY


1. COL (1st W)
2. STL
3. DAL

4. NSH

Edited by Shaelon
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1 hour ago, Arrow 1983 said:

what is fun about all this is 8-7 record gets us in the playoffs and a 9-6 record could easily get us a top 3 in the pacific division 

 

this is what makes this season so fun to watch

And a 6-9 record and we miss! Which makes every game mean something probably right until the end 

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Clinching Numbers (For Vancouver)

Playoffs:

Projected Points: 93 / +1

Projected Magic #: 8.5

Record to Achieve: 8-5-1

Division:

Projected Points: 99 / +1

Projected Magic #: 11.5

Record to Achieve: 11-2-1

Conference:

Projected Points: 110 / No Change

Projected Magic #: 17.0

Record to Achieve: Not Achievable

President's Trophy:

Projected Points: 117 / -2

Projected Magic #: 20.5

Record to Achieve: Not Achievable


Updated: March 8th

 

Canucks still retain control over its destiny, Calgary lost helped Vancouver and they still control 3rd in the Pacific. They have one point worth of error left, so a win on Tuesday is a must.

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7 hours ago, Shaelon said:

Clinching Numbers (For Vancouver)

Playoffs:

Projected Points: 93 / +1

Projected Magic #: 8.5

Record to Achieve: 8-5-1

Division:

Projected Points: 99 / +1

Projected Magic #: 11.5

Record to Achieve: 11-2-1

Conference:

Projected Points: 110 / No Change

Projected Magic #: 17.0

Record to Achieve: Not Achievable

President's Trophy:

Projected Points: 117 / -2

Projected Magic #: 20.5

Record to Achieve: Not Achievable


Updated: March 8th

 

Canucks still retain control over its destiny, Calgary lost helped Vancouver and they still control 3rd in the Pacific. They have one point worth of error left, so a win on Tuesday is a must.

The Blackhawks loss also helps the Canucks as they stay 6 points back of them. The Wild beating the Ducks is bad news for the Canucks because Minnesota passes the Canucks in the conference standings. The Wild are now in 7th place with the Canucks falling to 8th place. Vancouver is in a 3 way tie for the last playoff spot with Nashville and Winnipeg. The Canucks are ahead because they have 1 more ROW than Nashville and the Jets have played 1 more game than the Canucks and Predators. It is very tight in the west, 6th to 11th place is a 5 point difference.

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11 hours ago, Lazurus said:

Not a magic number but a very important game tonight.

The Canucks could be knocked out of a playoff spot again.

Worst case scenario

OT with Arizona winning

You're right Lazurus, the worst case basically happened, the Jets won and passed the Canucks. At least it was a regulation win. The Knights-Oilers was the bad result because it was an OT game.

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On 2/28/2020 at 1:13 AM, Shaelon said:

Clinching Numbers (For Vancouver)

Playoffs:

Projected Points: 91 / +1

Projected Magic #: 8.5

Record to Achieve: 8-10-1

Division:

Projected Points: 99

Projected Magic #: 12.5

Record to Achieve: 12-6-1

Conference:

Projected Points: 109

Projected Magic #: 17.5

Record to Achieve: 17-1-1

President's Trophy:

Projected Points: 117 / +1

Projected Magic #: 21.5

Record to Achieve: Not Achievable


Updated: Feb 27th

 

The Ottawa Senators have been eliminated from division, conference and president's trophy contention.

You should include tie-breakers as well as of now the Canucks have to tie-breaker against Nash, Win or Min, 

 

They do against Calgary

Edited by Arrow 1983
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Clinching Numbers (For Vancouver)

Playoffs:

Projected Points: 93 

Projected Magic #: 7.5

Record to Achieve: 7-5-1

Division:

Projected Points: 100 / +1

Projected Magic #: 11.0

Record to Achieve: 11-2-0

Conference:

Projected Points: 109

Projected Magic #: 15.5

Record to Achieve: Not Achievable

President's Trophy:

Projected Points: 118 / +1

Projected Magic #: 20.0

Record to Achieve: Not Achievable


Updated: March 10th

 

Detroit Red Wings have clinched 31st in the NHL with a loss against the Carolina Hurricanes.

Edited by Shaelon
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