cleowin Posted March 23, 2015 Author Share Posted March 23, 2015 Sunday, March 22nd, 2015: Magic Number Charts have been updated! Clinching By Pace: 4-5-1 Record needed to clinch a playoff spot! 4-5-1 Record needed to clinch 2nd in the Division! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gaudette Celly Posted March 23, 2015 Share Posted March 23, 2015 Y did my thread get locked because of this? I dont like this guessing what we need to clinch. If we go 5-5-1 we could still miss the playoffs. It all depends on what the other teams do. If they go 11-0-0 or something like that, it would take more than 5-5-1. My thread never included a magic number, and is nothing like this thread IMHO. I really dont understand why it got locked over this. Yeah, but that's not possible. For one they play each other, also we are likely to get loser-points over mostly outright losses, and the typical playoff cut-off is from 93-96 points. It took 97 in 2011, which means worst-case we need 9 points out of 10 games. Last two games are Edmonton and Phoenix, and if they can't get 4 points from there then they don't deserve to be in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wai_lai416 Posted March 23, 2015 Share Posted March 23, 2015 your magic number chart is off. LA played 71 not 70 games they are missing a loss in the lose column Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleowin Posted March 24, 2015 Author Share Posted March 24, 2015 I fixed the mistakes. Ill upload yesterday's results in about an hour and a half Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleowin Posted March 24, 2015 Author Share Posted March 24, 2015 Monday, March 23rd, 2015: Magic Number Charts have been updated! CAR is the 5th team to be eliminated from Playoff Contention! 5-5-0 Record needed to clinch 2nd in the division! I have fixed many errors in my chart. (Human error mistakes have decreased considerably, as I check it frequently) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gaudette Celly Posted March 24, 2015 Share Posted March 24, 2015 Monday, March 23rd, 2015: Magic Number Charts have been updated! CAR is the 5th team to be eliminated from Playoff Contention! 5-5-0 Record needed to clinch 2nd in the division! What if Calgary goes 6-2-1 or better, or LA 7-2-1 or better? Looks like right now, mathematically we need to go 8-2-0 to be guaranteed 2nd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleowin Posted March 24, 2015 Author Share Posted March 24, 2015 well then they go above pace, which my pace formula isnt about. In reality, canucks have to go 8-2-0 to clinch as you said Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bag of Pucks Posted March 25, 2015 Share Posted March 25, 2015 What odds for Canucks to win the Pacific Division? Hear me out... Two games in hand and 9 points back with 10 games to play. Ducks currently on a 2 game loss streak Canucks 3 game win streak 5 points adrift assuming Canucks win both games in hand. Plus, the Canucks currently hold the ROW tie breaker. I might be dreaming but funnier things have happened... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleowin Posted March 25, 2015 Author Share Posted March 25, 2015 While entirely possible, canucks would have to go something like 7-2 while the ducks go like 3-4 down the stretch. Its possible, but i dont know if itll happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gaudette Celly Posted March 25, 2015 Share Posted March 25, 2015 Go all out, win the division... then get to play the Kings in the first round anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleowin Posted March 25, 2015 Author Share Posted March 25, 2015 Tuesday, March 24th, 2015: Magic Number Charts have been updated! CBJ & PHI have been eliminated by Magic #! (6th & 7th). VAN needs 4-5-0 Record to clinch a playoff spot & 2nd in the Pacific! VAN needs 9-0-0 Record to clinch the Pacific Division! (Anaheim would need to go 4-2-1). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleowin Posted March 26, 2015 Author Share Posted March 26, 2015 Wednesday, March 25th, 2015: Magic Number Charts have been updated! 3-6-1 Record needed to clinch a playoff spot! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scorvat Posted March 26, 2015 Share Posted March 26, 2015 Wednesday, March 25th, 2015: Magic Number Charts have been updated! 3-6-1 Record needed to clinch a playoff spot! We go 3-6-1 and i will gaurentee u we miss the playoffs. Wow i really dont get this thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleowin Posted March 26, 2015 Author Share Posted March 26, 2015 Look at pace. 3-6-1 = 97 points. Canucks hold tiebreaker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleowin Posted March 26, 2015 Author Share Posted March 26, 2015 Explanation of Pace Formula: The pace formula is very simple. It's Total Points / Games Played * 82 (Total Games in Season). By evaluating the chart, if you look under the 'Pace' section of the Chart, all you have to do is look at the 9th placed team's Pace, and then you know what the point total is to clinch a spot. The Pace formula is based on the most common output given the pace of a current team. For example, the Calgary Flames currently have 87 points in 74 GP. applying the formula, you get a final number rounded to 96. Since they are the 9th placed team If they win out, you just add a single point to ensure a playoff spot, thus the playoff clinching # is 97. 97 Points - 90 Points (Vancouver) = 7 Points. 3-6-1 Record = 7 points. Of course there's always the potential for every team to go above that pace, but statistically speaking, the variation won't be more than 3-5 points up or down, so the pace is a safe assumption. Since no one understands, I'll start posting the REAL clinching # which is based on the X/Y/Z/P columns. VAN needs 7-2-0 record to clinch a playoff spot. VAN needs 7-2-0 record to clinch 3rd in the Pacific Division VAN needs 7-1-1 record to clinch 2nd in the Pacific Division VAN needs 9-0-0 record plus a 4-3-0 record by ANA to clinch the Pacific Division! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gaudette Celly Posted March 26, 2015 Share Posted March 26, 2015 Of course there's always the potential for every team to go above that pace, but statistically speaking, the variation won't be more than 3-5 points up or down, so the pace is a safe assumption. But quite a massive one. If we're talking pace, then standings would stay about the same as they are now, because the contending teams have been upholding a similar pace. Since no one understands, I'll start posting the REAL clinching # which is based on the X/Y/Z/P columns. VAN needs 7-2-0 record to clinch a playoff spot. VAN needs 7-2-0 record to clinch 3rd in the Pacific Division VAN needs 7-1-1 record to clinch 2nd in the Pacific Division VAN needs 9-0-0 record plus a 4-3-0 record by ANA to clinch the Pacific Division! Much better, cuz based on facts, not magic Although, there still should be "magic numbers" that take into consideration all teams, such as "7" -- combination of points gained or lost compared to another team, etc. Harder to do straight wins-and-losses because of loser points. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleowin Posted March 27, 2015 Author Share Posted March 27, 2015 Thursday, March 26th, 2015: Magic Number Charts have been updated! NYR has clinched a playoff spot! (1st) NJD has been eliminated from Magic # Contention (8th) VAN needs 3-4-1 record to clinch a playoff spot (Pace) / 7-1-0 Record (Real) VAN needs 3-4-1 record to clinch 3rd in the Pacific Division (Pace) / 7-1-0 Record (Real) VAN needs 4-3-1 record to clinch 2nd in the Pacific Division (Pace) / 7-0-1 Record (Real) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleowin Posted March 28, 2015 Author Share Posted March 28, 2015 Friday, March 27th, 2015: Magic Number Charts have been updated! VAN needs 3-5-0 record to clinch a playoff spot (Pace) / 6-2-0 Record (Real) VAN needs 3-5-0 record to clinch 3rd in the Pacific Division (Pace) / 6-2-0 Record (Real) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleowin Posted March 29, 2015 Author Share Posted March 29, 2015 Saturday, March 28th, 2015: Magic Number Charts have been updated! MTL, NSH & ANA have clinched playoff spots! (2nd, 3rd & 4th) BUF has clinched 16th in the Eastern Conference VAN needs 2-4-1 Record to clinch a playoff spot (Pace) / 5-1-1 Record (Real) VAN needs 3-4-0 Record to clinch 2nd in the division Pace) / 6-1-0 Record (Real) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orka Posted March 29, 2015 Share Posted March 29, 2015 fingers crossed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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