Posted 03 April 2012 - 03:09 PM
A lot will depend on the playoffs. Situation is not a sure thing though. Let's take the emotions out and think practically. What can happen:
Option 1. Keep Luongo, Trade Schneider.
- Probably the safest bet - Schneider will likely fetch us an important asset, and everybody will be unhappy for the first few weeks. Given our depth, it will be for the future rather than immediate help. It will likely seem like we got fleeced because we love CS so much. CDCers will bicker over whether MG is the right guy for the job, especially when the Canucks and Luongo enter their annual slump mode in October.
Option 2. Keep Schneider, Trade Luongo.
- Not as outlandish as people think it is. Only concern for me is it looks bad as an organization to part ways with a franchise goalie like this, especially one who is breaking all kinds of franchise records. But Luongo at cap hit of ~5M is very reasonable. The length of the contract, not so much. But if Jeff Carter (who is not worth his contract or his cap hit) can be traded twice, I'm sure there is a market for an elite goalie, gold medalist, with great work ethic, and well-liked teammate and a veteran leader. Tampa Bay, Toronto, Columbus are just three teams that basically imploded largely due to their goaltending. I think they can throw some important pieces for a goalie that could stablize and secure that position right away - remember how Luongo stabilized the Canucks when we hadn't had a stable goalie for a decade? He does have a NTC, but I really don't think that matters in this day and age; so many guys willing to waive their NTC. If Lu agrees to waive, then it will not be for hockey related reason, that's for sure. If this unlikely scenario does unfold, he'll likely be headed somewhere closer to Florida (family) or Montreal (family) i.e. somewhere in the East.
Third Option. Keep Luongo. Keep Schneider.
The only reason why this will likely not happen is because we think Schneider will want to be a starter somewhere else. But if we were to offer him market value and promise him more starts as 1A, 1B tandem, will he stay? He'll have a better chance at winning than at a rebuilding club like Columbus. If we go far into the playoffs again, our guys would have played roughly 50 more games. That's about ~210 games over two seasons. We will need two goalies next year. Luongo has played a lot of hockey already in his young career (the guy used to start 70 games regularly). Schneider is a smart guy. He realizes what this team can offer and likes the organization. Does he covet the starting role more than winning as a 1B guy? Time will tell. If we really wanted to, we could clear out cap space deadweights in Ballard, and that alone would give us space for Schneids to stay. Both Luongo and Schneider have stolen SO many games this year; I fee like ~8M is justified to have a WALL in our net. And for those who bring up Price's cap hit to compare to Schneids, know this... Price's payday is coming soon.
Fourth Option. Trade Luongo. Trade Schneider.