I recall many (including users of CDC) claiming that Luongo will "for sure be going to Toronto by July 1st," additionally claiming to have "inside sources" in an attempt at bring respectability to their statements.
With July 1 coming and going, I thought I would post so that we may all embrace and rejoice in the fact that many have destroyed their credibility, and thusly, we may never again have to pay attention to their ficticious and attention seeking ways.
Furthermore, with all the UFA signing in the recent days it appears that the Luongo trade that so many have predicted will not in fact come to reality. With Garrison recently signing, the potential for a Luongo deal or salary dump to Florida has come and gone, leaving a depleted FA pool and weaker trading block.
So now as it appears that Luongo is here to stay a while longer (my guess until at least December, maybe longer), how do the rest of you feel about this potential, are you willing to still support him, or are we going to continue trying to run one of the best goaltenders in the world out of city?
For the record, I am a Luongo supporter. Also for the record, just because Luongo hasn't been traded by July 1 certainly doesn't mean that he will still be here "to stay".
I think the Canucks will benefit greatly from trading Luongo in the likely acquisition of a roster player, a pick and a prospect (or some mix of the three). The Canucks will also benefit from no longer having Luongo's decent cap hit on the books for the long term, even if they have to take some cap hit back for the short term (Luongo's contract and cap hit is good. The duration means that rather than loading the team with a higher cap hit, it is lower which aids in gaining free agents. See Rinne's contract for what the Canucks could have been facing in a cap hit).
I noted a number of windows of opportunity for a Luongo trade. The first was at the draft. If Gillis wanted above all else a number one pick for this year then Luongo would be moved at this time. The second was prior to July 1, where Gillis could (if he wanted) include negotiation rights for various free agents in addition to other assests. The third window was after July 1, where Gillis could assess what he had been able to pick up in the way of free agents and from there start to negotiate for assests to fill remaining team needs. The third window is open until September (the start of training camp).
The fourth window opens when rival GM's get to assess how their non-Luongo choices are looking at camp. This is where they will really start to get nervous, and they will continue to profess that they don't need Luongo, at any price. This window is open through to X-Mas.
At X-Mas, teams that are starting to drop off the pace realize that they can still save their season by trading for Luongo. This fifth window is open until the trade deadline. At the trade deadline, teams which are likely in but feel they could do with an upgrade in goal to make the push to the Cup will come calling.
Should Luongo not be traded by this time, merely rinse and repeat for next year.
Otherwise. just curious about how you figure any potential Luongo deal has come and gone? The Canucks picked a very good d-man. All this means is that Gillis addressed one of the team's needs. There is still the need for improvement at top-6 right winger, they could use a younger, bigger and fairly proficient scoring center for the third line, maybe there could be upgrades in the bottom-6, and even though they got Garrison the Canucks could proably benefit from getting a big, stay at home d-man (either as a veteran or perhaps a good prospect).
Oh, and the team also has to figure out who is going to back-up Schneider.
Edited by Gollumpus, 04 July 2012 - 07:57 PM.
Following the Canucks since before Don Cherry played here.