I'm gonna rub dirt in all of your faces if OEL returns to his form of 2 years ago after a healthy off season of training. I still think OEL is a bonafide top 4 LHD that was playing injured last year. This buyout is gonna look really stupid if that's the case.
Totally agreed. Clearly if the Canucks could really use a defenceman like him, many other teams could also use him. Therefore, bidding war. Therefore, $5.5 to $6M man on a long term deal.
People that think he'll be signed at $4M AAV are out to lunch.
To VAN
Bowen Byram
To COL
1st Round Pick - 11th OA (VAN)
Logan Stanley
To WPG
Oskar Olausson
3rd Round Pick (VAN)
Sign UFA Mayfield to $5M AAV deal.
Canucks defence core this coming year:
Byram-Hronek
Hughes-Mayfield
Wolanin/Hirose/Brisebois-Myers
All hypotheticals at this point so I'm not gonna continue anymore lol. It's just my opinion that I think OEL would still have been 2LHD. The reason is cuz I went through the list of LHD available around the league for 2nd pairing roles and surprisingly the pickings are really slim.
If Aquilini didn't ante up, yeah, I believe they'd have him playing 2LHD. Again, I'm not saying he'd be good as a 2LHD, but what I am saying is that's what we would have been left with. No different than last year or the year before.
That's out of convenience that you automatically move him onto the 3rd pair. Reality is if he was healthy and is healthy going into next season, he'd be on the 2nd pair.
But doesn't OEL need to be replaced? I assume a top 4 LHD will be at least $4M per year for the next 4 years. That means $16M plus the $17M owed to OEL... $33M out of Aquilini’s pocket instead of $29M. So $4M extra cost overall.
All of the teams you mentioned are losing depth this coming year because of that dead cap. Likely significant pieces too. As usual we can't see the future, but until one of those teams wins a cup with dead cap on the roster, I'm sticking to my stance that dead cap = no cup.
Even at $100M, the dead cap would be about the equivalent of 1.75M in today's cap world. That's a pretty solid bottom 6 forward or 3rd pair defenceman.
It doesn't have to be just an anchor on the 3rd pair. There could be anchors on 4th lines or 3rd lines up front. Anchors in backup goalies, etc. Bottomline is most teams have a bad contract or anchor on their roster. Doesn't mean they can't succeed. Dead cap on the other hand has been pretty evident that it is a huge detriment to building a cup champion.
And I mentioned to you multiple times how it has been shown in the recent past that an anchor contract for a veteran defender on the 3rd pair is not the end of the world. Certainly not to the point where we had to buyout a contract that resulted in us sitting on dead cap for 8 years. One thing is for certain, there has not been a Stanley Cup winning roster that had dead cap on the cap hit. If history continues, the Canucks are now out of the running for a Cup win for at least 8 more years.
Erik Johnson had multiple years left as well when the Avs were a powerhouse.
+/- is no indicator of how good a player is. It tells us how good a team's defence is.
Kinda like how you're guaranteeing we get equal or better value from a replacement top 4 LHD capable of playing 20+ min a night? While also costing $5M or less AAV.