GritGrinder

Boeser is shooting a lofty 21.2% this season which is 7.5% higher than his career average so a bit of regression the rest of the season would be normal. Not to the 9.5% of last season but probably somewhere around 15%, so at his current shot pace we can reasonably expect 24 goals.

To a certain extent. EP has assisted on 6 of Brock's 11 goals this season (55%) and on 5 of Brock's 8 goals through 19 games last season (63%) Brock has assisted on 3 of EP's 5 goals this season (60%) and on 6 of EP's 8 goals through 19 games last season (75%) So essentially if EP had 2-3 more goals this season that Brock assisted on then the #'s are almost identical.

Boeser is off to almost as good a start this year as he was last year. Its his finish last season that he has to avoid this season. First 19 games 2019-20 8g 11a 19pts +2 2020-21 11g 7a 18pts -3 Final 38 games 2019-20 8g 18a 26pts +2 The Canucks have 37 games left. If Boeser scores 8 goals and 18a the rest of the way and finishes with 19g 25a 44pts in 56 games is that considered a successful season?

Cloutier was the starting goalie in only 3 of Nazzy's 12 years here. Great guy, lots of points but not a very good captain/leader and was never able to take the extra step needed to be a playoff performer.

Yeah and only played in 52 playoff games in a 16yr career and never past the second round. Just sayin'.

March is kind of a double-edged sword for the Canucks schedule wise though. Yes, they get 6 days off between the 24th and 31st but that just means that the 14 games they do play are in a similar timeframe to the teams playing 16 and 17 games. 13 games in 24 days prior to the 6 day break, whereas the other teams seem to be more evenly spread out through the month. Also the Canucks play 11 of their 18 April/May games on the road where they are currently 2-8 so that needs to tighten up significantly in the next month or so (among other things).

The Oilers schedule has been virtually identical. They played each other on opening night, the Canucks play their 18th game and the Oilers their 17th tonight. The Oilers have played one less game in the same amount of days. The Canucks have played 2 more road games but that was basically a couple of extra nights spent in Calgary so not exactly a grueling road trip. Their are also 5 other teams playing their 16th game tonight who played on opening night or the 2nd night and 3 of them are above .500 in tougher divisions.

3rd worst team overall this season and the 3rd worst team in league history overall. Well at least they are showing some consistency for the first time in a few seasons. Don't worry though. The Canes would need to get 71pts this season and the Canucks 48 for them to drop to 2nd worst. And that can't possibly happen...right?

That last line sounds like a politician. If he would have said “we will not be changing the GM or coaching staff this season” then that is definitive. Saying “I have no plans to make changes” means that if they lose 4 or 5 out of the next 6 then “plans changed” and he can fire anyone with justification and not going back on his word (tweet).

This is where a bad start in a shortened season makes it so hard to get back into playoff contention. The Canucks would have to go 8-3 in the next 11 to get to 14-14 at the half way point of the season and they would still be 4-5pts behind the 65pt pace that 4th place in the North is on. They need to at the very least start getting some games to OT and get some “loser points”.

Weeks ago?! The season is only 4 weeks old, so they quit on the coaching staff after 4-5 games..? If that’s the case then there are serious character issues in that room and the team is worse than they appear.

Nonis acquired Luongo and Salo was acquired in 2002 by Burke.

4th in the North is currently on pace for 65pts. The Canucks would have to go something like 30-21-5 to get to 65pts which means they can really only afford 10 more regulation losses. Life comes at you fast in a 56 game season.

Next 8 games Markstrom 3 times Hellebuyck 3 times An Oilers team that is 6-1 in their last 7. No pressure.

Amazing how in a shortened season even 6 games is huge. 11% of the total season and 35% of the games played this season in one losing streak. Basically the equivalent of a 9 game losing streak in an 82 game season.

Hahaha yeah ok. when I brought the receipts on all the other stats you nit pick over the 1:55 per game. Anyway, Enjoy the game tonight, I'll be rooting for a Canuck regulation win.

They aren't though given the zone starts over the last 3 seasons. Schmidt's Corsi and Fenwick are %5 higher than Tanev the last 3 seasons which looks huge but there is a %6 difference in zone starts. A player having a %5 higher Corsi and Fenwick when having a %6 higher Ozone to DZone starts is pretty much a league wide fact and because Schmidt was on much better teams the last 3 seasons he was able to be deployed like that. Thats not my opinion that's just a stat. Also Avg TOI the last 3 seasons Schmidt 22.01 Tanev 20:06 Basically 2 shifts a game. Not massive.

They lean more towards Schmidt in Corsi and Fenwick and P/PG but not PDO, Zone starts or ice time. Put Tanev on the Knights the last 3 seasons and Schmidt on the Canucks and equal out the zone starts and they are very similar. Again, not "far better".

Sorry but Schmidt is not "far better" in any stats. Here are the last 7 seasons for both players. Corsi % average Schmidt 51.6 Tanev 48.2 Fenwick % average Schmidt 51.4 Tanev 49.1 PDO Schmidt 101.7 Tanev 100.9 OZone Starts Schmidt 53.2 Tanev 43.6 DZone Starts Schmidt 46.8 Tanev 56.4 P/PG Schmidt 0.35 Tanev 0.23 Avg TOI Schmidt 18:36 Tanev 19:44 Schmidt has spent the last 7 seasons on Stanley Cup contending teams and Tanev has spent the past 7 seasons on a rebuilding/re-tooling team. Even out the zone starts and a better team around him and Tanev's #'s are equal or better probably across the board over the past 7 seasons. Schmidt is a bit more durable is about the only thing you can say. If that's worth $1.5m then you're entitled to your opinion.

What exactly are you basing that on..?

Here's where that logic kind of has some holes in it. Schmidt is only a year and a half younger than Tanev but is signed for an additional year. When Tanev's contract ends he'll be 34 yrs and 7 months old, when Schmidt's contract ends he's 2 weeks from turning 34. I know Tanev has missed significant time previously to injuries but Schmidt has also missed a large # of games (50+) to injury the last few seasons. And lets not forget the $1.5m aav difference as well. Markstrom just turned 31 and he hasn't exactly been a workhorse, only 125 total NHL appearances in his first 7 seasons. Most would say he is just entering his prime so him performing well until he's 36-37 isn't that crazy. JB could have either traded Demko (probably for a 1st or some high-end prospect) or could have made a deal with Seattle to ensure Demko wasn't taken and have him as Marky's back up for another couple of seasons and hope his trade value increases. Either way JB had a few different options here and basically took the easiest one. **I posted this in another thread so for anybody reading it for a 2nd time, my apologies**

I dunno man. Asking the Canucks to be SC contenders in the 22-23 season is a bit of a stretch, I mean technically that's less than a season and a half away. To go from one of the worst defensive teams in the league to SC contender in that short a timeframe is going to take more than JB, like praying to JC maybe.