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Canucks playoff odds... I looked them up

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grouse747

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we got to 20% or maybe slightly higher on hockey-reference.com (name?) and now back at around 7%, which I think is generous.

 

although looked at another way, if you do "games back" like baseball or nhl, the Canucks are 2.5 games back with average 10.5 games (Montreal and Vancouver average) to go.. doesn't sound that daunting at all... I think "games back" assumes 50% win rates, which hockey doesn't have. so the 2.5 "games back" is understated. it would be easy to see that "2.5 games back" would be near impossible if average win rates were really high like 90% (of course that doesn't make logical sense, but NHL does have higher than 50% "adjusted win rate"

 

this team has had some good runs, but tons and tons of decisive losses. and Demko flat out stole some games...... team needs a lot of work. heard caller saying TG is a very good coach. I don't think he's terrible but "very good" doesn't come to mind either. 

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1.1 % chance to make the playoffs after the latest defeat - that's it.  So put the party hats away. 

It aint Gonna happen Pal  and you can thank TG for his inability to prepare the team for the season resulting in 3 months out of 4 of failure including that catastrophic month of February where only were able to barely win 2 measly games in the entire month.   What an embarrassment!

Edited by RU SERIOUS
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2 hours ago, RU SERIOUS said:

1.1 % chance to make the playoffs after the latest defeat - that's it.  So put the party hats away. 

It aint Gonna happen Pal  and you can thank TG for his inability to prepare the team for the season resulting in 3 months out of 4 of failure including that catastrophic month of February where only were able to barely win 2 measly games in the entire month.   What an embarrassment!

 

Found a video of you making it official!  But your supposed to sing when it's done not this fat guy speedo GIF

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we got up to 20%+ recently. thought that was overly generous (might have made that exact comment earlier in this thread).. using "hockey reference" site.

 

now Canucks and Flames are 1.x% each............. and of course Canucks games haven't been very close recently

 

someone mentioned this season being unique in that VCR needed both Calgary and Montreal to play poorly in 2nd half of the season to make playoffs. but Montreal/Calgary play each other a lot (like all Canadian Division teams) so it was hard for both to be terrible.

 

but something else I would note: the concentrated games against teams made it so teams went hot/cold much more often than regular season....... i.e. playing Toronto 4 in a row, vs. playing Ottawa 4 in row..... of course, the Canucks struggled with Ottawa as the season went on and were great for awhile vs. Toronto.. but I think the idea still sticks...

 

haven't checked the rest of the schedule but it feels to me like Edmonton has been very underrepresented in our schedule so far. maybe Winnipeg too, but less so

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Stuff like this makes me laugh. People hell bent on "odds." In reality this team is horribly constructed and even healthy barely has the horses to keep up with the top teams in our division, let alone the rest of the league. Tonight for example, look at the line up. The only players of note that are missing are Petey and Sutter. Dont even bring up Motte and Virt because in reality they aren't the difference between winning and losing. Other than that, our best players are in the lineup and our D is fully intact. The playoffs were always going to be hard to make, but I'm glad this season is unfolding as it is as because it gives people a reality check as to how far away we are from being a threat. We have a punchers chance on any given night, but are long ways away from being a contender let alone a title shot. 

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Following this second loss to Edmonton (May 4th) we are now officially ranked at 0.0% of making the playoffs by the Odds makers.    Time to play the rookies - flat out.  lets see what they can do and what we have in the bank!    Great opportunity and we should strive to lose all remaining games to get better draft odds.   Thank god it was a short season!  I couldn't bare to watch a 9 month season of this GREEN GARBAGE.      Looking forward to off-season to purge the old timers and coaching staff.    Maybe Uncle Jim will be shown the door too -  never know.

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9 hours ago, RU SERIOUS said:

Following this second loss to Edmonton (May 4th) we are now officially ranked at 0.0% of making the playoffs by the Odds makers.    Time to play the rookies - flat out.  lets see what they can do and what we have in the bank!    Great opportunity and we should strive to lose all remaining games to get better draft odds.   Thank god it was a short season!  I couldn't bare to watch a 9 month season of this GREEN GARBAGE.      Looking forward to off-season to purge the old timers and coaching staff.    Maybe Uncle Jim will be shown the door too -  never know.

 

Benning and Green bashing, but not each other on these boards don’t make you sound civilized. 

It is quite hypocritical in fact. 
Screw this post.

 

I’m out.

 

Edited by Me_
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Well, you know, this morning, May 5/21, at least one of the internet sportsbooks will pay out $5,000.00 on a ten dollar bet on the Canucks to win the 2021 Stanley Cup.

 

That's 500 to 1 that we win The Cup.

 

The payout if the Canucks get into the playoffs will be a lot less than that.

 

That's because there are better odds of the Canucks making the playoffs than of them winning The Cup.

 

These same sportsbooks do not list a bet on Buffalo winning The Cup, that's because they cannot make the playoffs.

 

Therefore the Playoffs are still not Out of Reach, and hence The Vancouver Canucks Can Still Win The 2021 Stanley Cup.

 

     - s/b Obvious Captain

 

No $#^%(%$-ing Tanking!

 

Play to win!  Every Freaking Shift!

 

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2 hours ago, Me_ said:

 

Benning and Green bashing, but not each other on these boards don’t make you sound civilized. 

It is quite hypocritical in fact. 
Screw this post.

 

I’m out.

 

but, but, but.....this is the best part of the season and an annual event in Canuckland, where we get to bash the coaches, GM, players and overpriced seats and food at the rink.    You don't know what you'll be missing out on.  You should hang in there and join the "Venting Crowd"    Most fun of the year!!!!   Just like Christmas !!!!

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