Well Schneider has played a grand total of 4 full playoff games as a starter, and bottom line is he's 1-3. Sure he played well enough in those games to get the win, but the fact is that's a pretty small sample size to take such a big gamble on.
Yes we've seen Luongo be great in the playoffs, and we've seen him be horrible. But if you look at it game by game, for the most part it's been great. The problem with Schneider is there's such a small sample size that we haven't seen any horrible games from him. So we really don't know how he would react after meltdowns. We'd like to pretend he'd be cool and calm like always but we don't know.
The sample size might be small but in which case you can go back in his career and see that he has always been great. In every level of competition he has played he has played in important games and has always played well. Even this season and the season before he was great. He just had his second, third and fourth ever start in nhl playoffs during an elimination game for a team that had a lot of pressure on it and guess what he put up the best numbers by far in these playoffs. He is not a 20 year old player who has so much to go through, he is a 26 year old man and what you get is what you see, dont expect much of a change.
The risk is not that big at all, if you logically compare it to the risk of keeping Lu. Lu is on his way to being 34 and you say that he has experiance but what good is that experiance when you are aging and your play is getting worse because you are over the hill. This contract is for 10 years and his numbers are down. While Cory is young and he is definitely trending upwards.
Cory's mental makeup is great and he did have bad games but he came back strong and honestly you dont have to be a pyschologist to know that this man is extremely stable mentally, even after he allows a goal you can see he is not rattled. You speak of meltdowns well of all the good goalies that have ever melted down, the low is held by Lu (sorry to say it but its true). Therefore it is not hard to see that even if Cory does melt down it will never be to the depths of Lu's meltdowns. So the trade off there is fine too.
Lu has been great and you say that is all that matters but honestly its not. We lost every series when he has not been great other than the Nashville series. So what really matters is when he has not been great.
You say Lu was not put into the last 3 games to spark the team, if that was true, Roberto would not be coming out and saying that he is ready for a trade. The coach would have reassured him of his place in the team and would have told him it was just that one series.
Finally my fellow Cdcer, you say there is more risk to Cory but the fact is there is more risk to Lu because even if Cory doesnt contiue to put up a sv% of 0.930+ we still have other great young goaltenders on the way, ie Eddie Lack, Joe Cannata. But if we dont trade Lu (big contract) now while he still have much value and is at a resonable age for a desperate team, we might end up beiing stuck with him and not getting anything of value later on. Having a 5 mil back up would be disasterous for a team in the cap world, especially with the CBA ending in september.
Edit: grammer and another point, that Quick guy well he has played against Cory for pretty much since they were young and it has ALWAYS been Cory who was the better goalie. And just look at what Quick got yesterday, a nomination for goalie of the year (because he was given an oppurtunity) and just watch when cory is given a chance to prove himself.
Edited by iluvbc, 26 April 2012 - 03:11 PM.