Long_John_Tavares Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 Law of average dictates 14-15 years since 2011 which is about 11-12 years now. 1982 - 1994 = 12 years 1994 - 2010 = 17 years 17 years + 12 years / 2 = 14.5 years Therefore including the fact that Gary Bettmen is still the commissioner of the NHL, we will have the as much of a chance to win the cup as our odds to make it to the playoffs which is 4% currently. Therefore if it is a 4% chance and we have made it to final twice while Bettmen's at the helm = 100% / 4% = 25 - 2 = 23| 23 stanley cup appearances are required to win the Cup = 23 * 14.5years = Within 333.5 years we will the win the Cup. *Considering that Gary Bettmen is actually immortal and survives that long. Will post thread on odds of that later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Magician Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 3 or 4 years depending on Gillis. I'm fine if we keep him but he NEEDS to start making some changes that will upgrade our team. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I.Am.Ironman Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 Unfortunate to say, but it all depends on how the Sedins, and to a lesser extent Burrows, respond next season. You could also throw Edler's name in there...-28? yikes. I think it is in our best interest to hold on to him, as we are not getting much for him with those stats... plus the fact that he has a NTC....................ugh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quoted Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 I've never been sure what people even mean by "elite" teams. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JeremyCuddles Posted March 13, 2014 Share Posted March 13, 2014 Islanders are capable of scoring many goals, only reason why they gave penguins a run for their money last season. I'd credit McFleury for that, guy couldn't stop a beach ball. And they had Tavares, no Tavares against us... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bongo4420 Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 The answer depends. If they keep Gillis never. If they bring in a competent GM I would say 8. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yogolol Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 It all depends on our rookies, if horvat and fox can bring their games to the NHL and the Sedins rebound we could be elite as early as next season. I'm pretty excited to see a Kassian Horvat Fox/jensen line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliboy Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 Don't even ask the question until Gillis is gone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Derp... Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 3-4 years until we are the Avelanch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NexusRift Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 Law of average dictates 14-15 years since 2011 which is about 11-12 years now.1982 - 1994 = 12 years1994 - 2010 = 17 years17 years + 12 years / 2 = 14.5 yearsTherefore including the fact that Gary Bettmen is still the commissioner of the NHL, we will have the as much of a chance to win the cup as our odds to make it to the playoffs which is 4% currently.Therefore if it is a 4% chance and we have made it to final twice while Bettmen's at the helm= 100% / 4%= 25 - 2= 23| 23 stanley cup appearances are required to win the Cup= 23 * 14.5years = Within 333.5 years we will the win the Cup.*Considering that Gary Bettmen is actually immortal and survives that long. Will post thread on odds of that later.Hello, Sheldon? Sheldon Cooper? Is that you?I love it, man! I don't know if this was meant to be totally serious or a bit of a joke, but it sure go a huge LOL outta' me! Good on ya', mate. Thanks.I think 2018-2019'ish sounds about right. However IMO, we won't reach the finals till sometime after that; 3 GM's, 5 Coaches and a dozen goaltenders later...................Go Canucks Go! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoylentBlue Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 Four to five years due to rebuild Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hunter.S-Kerouac Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 We will never be elite when our best players are being reduced to plug duties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Colt 45s Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 Injuries, reffing, and nonsense has been the problem this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VMR Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 It's funny, I love how people are predicting time frames when only couple of changes have happened. This question is better served after the season when we can see what they start off with next season. If this team is blown up then all bets are off for time frames. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canuckrelevantname Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 I'm going to make my time frame based on a few assumptions: 1. We miss the playoffs this year 2. Trade Kes at the draft 3. Our management is then replaced 4. We bottom-feed for 2014-15 and then get a top 10 pick at the draft... ...the rest would be conjecture. But I'm calling for a Stanley Cup calibre team by our 50th Anniversary season (2020-21). (Okay that's all conjecture...but all I know is that it's a long shot that we go anywhere if we squeak in this year, so I'd rather restructure and plan to avoid the embarrassment that is going 50 years without a championship.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ronalds.Kenins41 Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monty Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 In all honesty? 20+ years is my best guess. In the Canucks 44 year history, they were only considered elite for two seasons, 2011 and 2012 (winning President's Trophy). I'm not being pessimistic, just realistic. Look at Edmonton, they haven't been elite since the 80s, over 20 years ago. The Leafs haven't been elite since what, the 60s? In all reality, it doesn't look like it will happen anytime soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oldnews Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 Next year. The team has a bunch of capspace to work with for a change. The youth are pushing and are going to create much better depth in the organization. This has been a year with a fourth line that plays 3-5 minutes. I think that changes drastically in the very near future. When Hank, Daniel, maybe Kesler, Richardson, Santorelli (no brainer imo to re-sign him), Burrows etc regain their health. Currently 6.6 million in cap space. Cap likely to rise 4.5 to 6.5 million. Projected 11.4 for next year. Booth 4.25 cleared - 15.7. CAPGEEK.COM ARMCHAIR GM ROSTERcanucks 2014/15FORWARDS Daniel Sedin ($7.000m) / Henrik Sedin ($7.000m) / Alexandre Burrows ($4.500m) Paul Stastny ($6.600m) / Ryan Kesler ($5.000m) / Zack Kassian ($1.300m) Chris Higgins ($2.500m) / Brad Richardson ($1.150m) / Jannik Hansen ($2.500m) Nicklas Jensen ($0.863m) / Shawn Matthias ($1.750m) / Mike Santorelli ($2.000m) Tom Sestito ($0.750m) / Jordan Schroeder ($0.660m) /DEFENSEMEN Dan Hamhuis ($4.500m) / Jason Garrison ($4.600m) Alexander Edler ($5.000m) / Chris Tanev ($3.000m) Ryan Stanton ($0.550m) / Kevin Bieksa ($4.600m) Andrew Alberts ($0.600m) / Frank Corrado ($0.591m) Yannick Weber ($0.715m) /GOALTENDERS Eddie Lack ($1.150m) Jacob Markstrom ($1.200m) BUYOUTS David Booth ($0.000m) Keith Ballard ($0.000m)RETAINED SALARIES (1.13% of upper limit) Roberto Luongo ($0.800m—15.00%)------CAPGEEK.COM TOTALS (follow @capgeek on Twitter)(estimations for 2014-15)SALARY CAP: $71,100,000; CAP PAYROLL: $70,879,444; BONUSES: $8,333CAP SPACE (25-man roster): $220,556 Roster assuming only Jensen is prepared to step up - hardest after Stastny on the UFA market - perhaps flip the AVs a late pick for his rights before July 1st and try to get him signed - he seems to the the guy in the odd man out position in Colorado. The fourth line is vastly improved - essentially a 2nd/3rd tweener line that can play a much larger role than the current version. Jensen can push Kassian for those top 6 RW minutes. Someone else may emerge from the wealth of young talent developing. Santorelli and Matthias are easily capable of moving up the lineup - an elite fourth line. The third line is back to being an elite third line - Higgins and Hansen are capable of 40pt seasons as 3rd liners, particularly with a workhorse like Richardson. The second line is vastly improved with an outstanding two-way, playmaking Stastny - a more than capable center if Kesler is to be moved. That 1st line if healty with the support the rest of that forward group provides - will be very productive again. Lots of flexibility and ability to take cap back in any potential deals, or create more cap space and flexibility if dealing a veteran for youth and futures. This assuming Horvat, Gaunce, etc don't force their way onto the roster, making it even deeper. Canucks contend in 2014/15. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Silfverberg Snipes Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 After this core is gone, so that is ~4 years IMO... then we're going to finish near bottom [Hopefully] So I would say 8 years Unless, we get a high draft pick next year. Then I agree on 3 years. This. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CANUCK-EXPRESS Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 6 years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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