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Whites To Become Minority in Metro Vancouver by 2031


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#1 DonLever

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Posted 31 March 2013 - 04:44 PM

Whites to become minority in Metro Vancouver by 2031



Segregated neighbourhoods predicted as balance of population changes


By Douglas Todd, Vancouver SunMarch 31, 2013 3:04 PM



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The popular Richmond Night market may foreshadow things to come for Metro Vancouver — a new report says whites will be a distinct visible minority by 2031, with Chinese expected to become the largest ethnic group in the area.

Photograph by: Kim STALLKNECHT , Vancouver Sun


Whites will be a distinct visible minority in Metro Vancouver in less than two decades, according to a new report.
After being an overwhelming majority in Metro Vancouver up until the 1980s, whites will make up only two out of five residents by the year 2031, according to projections done for Citizenship and Immigration Canada.
University of British Columbia geographer Daniel Hiebert also predicts that ethnic groups in Metro will increasingly concentrate in neighbourhood enclaves, creating a degree of racial segregation paralleled only by blacks and whites in major U.S. cities
The rate of immigration into Metro Vancouver will continue to be so rapid that, by 2031, only one out of four residents of the region will have grandparents who lived in Canada, the veteran social geographer writes in his research paper titled, A New Residential Order?
“There is no European city with anything like this demographic structure, nor will there be in 2031,” writes Hiebert, who, as co-director of research and policy forum Metropolis B.C., has travelled the world studying immigration patterns.
Hiebert’s analysis of census data forecasts the largest ethnic group in Metro Vancouver will be Chinese, followed by South Asians, Filipinos, Koreans and West Asians (such as Iranians).
Without declaring whether these demographic trends will be negative or positive for Metro, Hiebert nevertheless says the “scale of ethnographic change over (the next) period will be larger and more rapid than anything we have seen previously.”
The only major city that will match Metro Vancouver in dramatic growth of ethnic populations will be Toronto, says Hiebert’s report, which can be found on the immigration department’s website.(http://www.cic.gc.ca...residential.asp)
“Toronto and Vancouver are likely to have a social geography that is entirely new to Canada.”
Calling it a “grand story” of demographic change, Hiebert predicts that Metro Vancouver’s so-called ethnic population will grow seven times faster than the combined white and aboriginal population.
Based on immigration and birthrates, Hiebert’s report predicts that by 2031 the number of visible minorities (or non-whites) in Metro Vancouver will rise by 1.150 million people; to 59 per cent of the population compared to 41 per cent in 2006.
The white population, meanwhile, will grow by only 150,000.
According to Hiebert’s model, Metro Toronto’s visible minority population will mushroom by 3.3 million, with whites accounting for just 37 per cent of its residents by 2031.
The largest religion in Metro Vancouver in less than two decades will remain Christian, since many Asian immigrants either arrive as Christians or convert after they’re here.
The next largest religious group, according to Hiebert, will be Sikhs, followed by Muslims and Buddhists. Metro will continue to have a large proportion of people who will say they have “no religion,” in part because Chinese immigrants tend to fall into that category.
Hiebert arrived at his ethnic and religious forecasts by using algorithms to extrapolate ethnographic trends of the recent decades up to 2031.

He acknowledges demographic developments could change unexpectedly, but sees no obvious indications that they will. Inventing a new term, Hiebert’s 32-page report says it’s clear Metro Vancouver and Toronto are rapidly becoming “majority-minority” cities, by which he means visible minorities (non-whites) are becoming the majority.
One of Hiebert’s most stark predictions for Metro Vancouver and Toronto regards the increasing rise of ethnic enclaves.
Indeed, Hiebert cites a popular standing joke to describe just how ethnically segregated Metro Vancouver has already become:
“Question: What river separates China and India?
“Answer: the Fraser River (which separates Richmond and Surrey).”
Such sharp ethnic segregation in Metro’s suburbs is only expected to increase by 2031, according to Hiebert. He predicts the number of minority-group ethnic enclaves to more than double in Metro Vancouver.
His model forecasts that 800,000 ethnic Chinese in Metro Vancouver will live in “polarized” enclaves by 2031. At the same time, more than 500,000 South Asians will inhabit their own ethnic enclaves.
However, Hiebert does not necessarily predict that the city’s fast-rising enclaves will be ripe with poverty or “strained social relations.”
Highly aware of riots that have occurred in ethnic enclaves in London, Paris and elsewhere based on a “sense of hopelessness among youth,” Hiebert acknowledges that members of many ethnic enclaves in Metro Vancouver have tended to be slightly more dependent on government support.
Nevertheless, Hiebert says the future of an ethnically segregated Metro Vancouver, as well as Toronto, could unfold in two sharply divergent ways.
If most members of ethnic groups maintain the solid levels of home ownership, access to the labour market and education that they do now, things should remain relatively robust in most Metro Vancouver neighbourhoods.
However, Hiebert suggested that ethnic enclaves could have a negative impact on the larger society if their inhabitants experience high unemployment, falter in the education system and fail to “integrate.”
dtodd@vancouversun.com
Blog: www.vancouversun.com/thesearch


Read more: http://www.vancouver...l#ixzz2PAENlrtT

Edited by DonLever, 31 March 2013 - 04:45 PM.

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#2 Tystick

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Posted 31 March 2013 - 04:52 PM

oh no
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#3 EmployeeoftheMonth

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Posted 31 March 2013 - 04:54 PM

thy hath taketh our professions.
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#4 :D

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Posted 31 March 2013 - 04:55 PM

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I'll be middle-aged and racist by then...
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#5 DarthNinja

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Posted 31 March 2013 - 04:58 PM

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I'll be middle-aged and racist by then...


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#6 NightHawkSniper

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Posted 31 March 2013 - 04:59 PM

As long as there are no aliens I'll be fine.
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#7 Zach Parise

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Posted 31 March 2013 - 05:01 PM

asian invasion !
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#8 nuckin_futz

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Posted 31 March 2013 - 05:02 PM

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This is Vancouver, go back from where you came from


This guy says "hi".
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Edited by nuckin_futz, 31 March 2013 - 05:03 PM.

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#9 Kass9

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Posted 31 March 2013 - 05:05 PM

as expected
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#10 Ossi Vaananen

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Posted 31 March 2013 - 05:09 PM

I'm 5th generation Canadian and white, I have no issue with this. I would just prefer for affirmative action to be eliminated and for the 'blanket' Canadian culture to be preserved, regardless of skin colour.
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#11 theminister

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Posted 31 March 2013 - 05:11 PM

I see no problem with this.
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#12 surtur

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Posted 31 March 2013 - 05:24 PM

I'm 5th generation Canadian and white, I have no issue with this. I would just prefer for affirmative action to be eliminated and for the 'blanket' Canadian culture to be preserved, regardless of skin colour.

Like Hockey, beer and proper pronunciation of eh', and the occasional pow wow . That is basically the Canadian Identity other then being ( stereotypically polite ). I am a first generation Canadian and my parents barely made it into the country 40 years ago because they were to white. lucky everything worked out and i got to grow up in this great country.
I have no issue with being a diverse nation my 2 kids have Native (Canadian), Scottish, Irish, German, and who knows what else in there blood.
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Release The KraKassian
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#13 gurn

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Posted 31 March 2013 - 05:24 PM

AS long as they are Canadian who cares about skin color?
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#14 Scottish⑦Canuck

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Posted 31 March 2013 - 05:30 PM

Providing that they are willing to embrace Canadian culture as well as preserving some of their own I don't see a problem with it. That means making an effort to learn English, as referenced to in another thread.

Of course, I don't live there so my opinion may well differ from many on this board.

Edited by Scottish⑦Canuck, 31 March 2013 - 05:42 PM.

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#15 El_Capitan

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Posted 31 March 2013 - 05:57 PM

You mean we're not a visible minority now?
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#16 Ghostsof1915

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Posted 31 March 2013 - 05:58 PM

I don't care as long as there's less people in general. The city is overcrowded as it is.

Fat chance that will happen though.
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#17 Hugemanskost

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Posted 31 March 2013 - 06:14 PM

And? Who cares?

People are people. Perhaps in 2031, attitudes will be more diverse? Europeans arrived in BC in 1770-ish. How did the Aboriginal people who lived here already jive with that? So, how can things be different in 2030 when non-whites are no longer the "dominant" culture?

We are all Homo Sapiens Sapiens. Our differences are minute, racially, doable, culturally. If the color of your neighbor's skin is of importance to you, perhaps you should consider moving to a new neighborhood?

If we all look out for, and care for, one another, does it really matter what we freakin' look like?

OMG!

Flame away, CDC.
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#18 canucks since 77

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Posted 31 March 2013 - 06:37 PM

Its all part of Harpers plan. MWAHAHAHAHAH!
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#19 SynysterGates

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Posted 31 March 2013 - 09:32 PM

Make an effort to learn English and everything's OK.
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#20 Dion Phaneuf

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Posted 31 March 2013 - 09:39 PM

Vancouver - Asian (Chinese)
Richmond - Asian (Chinese)
Surrey - Asian (Indian)

Awesome! The main cities are will be taken over. :lol:
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#21 El_Capitan

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Posted 31 March 2013 - 09:46 PM

Walk faster and I'm sure we can all live happily together.
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#22 nuckin_futz

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Posted 31 March 2013 - 09:58 PM

And? Who cares?

People are people. Perhaps in 2031, attitudes will be more diverse? Europeans arrived in BC in 1770-ish. How did the Aboriginal people who lived here already jive with that? So, how can things be different in 2030 when non-whites are no longer the "dominant" culture?

We are all Homo Sapiens Sapiens. Our differences are minute, racially, doable, culturally. If the color of your neighbor's skin is of importance to you, perhaps you should consider moving to a new neighborhood?

If we all look out for, and care for, one another, does it really matter what we freakin' look like?

OMG!

Flame away, CDC.


You get a plus 1 for that bro.

Cut us open we're ALL pink on the inside.

Reminds me of a quote from South African anti apartheid activist Steven Biko:

Biko was once asked by a white judge in a political show trial, “Why do you people call yourselves black? You look more brown than black.” He shot back, “Why do you call yourselves white? You look more pink than white.” The judge was not amused.
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#23 Grapefruits

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Posted 31 March 2013 - 10:00 PM

Providing that they are willing to embrace Canadian culture as well as preserving some of their own I don't see a problem with it. That means making an effort to learn English, as referenced to in another thread.

Of course, I don't live there so my opinion may well differ from many on this board.


Not gonna happen. Very few that come here now embrace Canada or care about learning English. Segregation will be the way of the future. There are already many signs in Richmond that basically state that white people are not welcome., Face facts, most ethnicities that come here stick to their own and cater to their own.

There are many jobs in Vancouver and the lower mainland that require you to speak something other than English or French to be hired.
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#24 nucklehead

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Posted 31 March 2013 - 10:02 PM

As long as there are no aliens I'll be fine.

That's speciest
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#25 jovocop55

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Posted 31 March 2013 - 10:02 PM

not surprise.. u also have alot of whites going after asian girls.... so more mix... lol
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#26 SNACanuck

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Posted 31 March 2013 - 10:03 PM

I'm more worried about the Zombie invasion that is going to be sparked thanks to overpopulation! What percentage are they going to make up of the world after all is said and done??? :)
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#27 Imuzi

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Posted 31 March 2013 - 10:06 PM

Because we will have already been invaded by the Chinese by 2031



HEAVY SARCASM

Edited by Imuzi, 31 March 2013 - 10:06 PM.

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#28 Canada Hockey Place

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Posted 31 March 2013 - 11:05 PM

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#29 Butters Stoch

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Posted 31 March 2013 - 11:28 PM

Excellent.. the plan is going as we envisioned.
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#30 D.Doughty

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Posted 31 March 2013 - 11:31 PM

Icbc says no
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