Popular Post cleowin Posted January 29, 2020 Popular Post Share Posted January 29, 2020 (edited) Hi guys, the magic number game is back, and it'll be more streamlined and simplified moving forward! I will be providing text updates as the season finishes up. The last time I did a chart was back in 2014-2015 when the canucks made the playoffs. Right now, here is the Canucks Magic #: Clinching Numbers (For Vancouver) Playoffs: Projected Points: 93 Projected Magic #: 7.5 Record to Achieve: 7-5-1 Division: Projected Points: 100 Projected Magic #: 11.0 Record to Achieve: 11-2-0 Conference: Projected Points: 109 Projected Magic #: 15.5 Record to Achieve: Not Achievable President's Trophy: Projected Points: 118 Projected Magic #: 20.0 Record to Achieve: Not Achievable Updated: March 10th Edited March 11, 2020 by Shaelon 2 5 13 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chronic.Canuck Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 I'm not saying we're making the playoffs but... WE'RE MAKING THE PLAYOFFS BABY! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
6string Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 Nice to see ya back at work here, appreciate it! A few of us in preseason made our call: we're making the playoffs this year! Get er done Shaelon! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleowin Posted January 29, 2020 Author Share Posted January 29, 2020 Could I ask this thread be pinned as it’ll be updated daily until the end of the season? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Pears Posted January 29, 2020 Popular Post Share Posted January 29, 2020 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bertorama Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 Been a while. ! Go Canucks Go. FANS are excited for the back half of the year again. That feels So Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ghostsof1915 Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alflives Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 I don’t understand any of this OP, but it’s good, right? 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JM_ Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 we could go 14-18 and still make the playoffs? that doesn't seem right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ghostsof1915 Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 Just now, Alflives said: I don’t understand any of this OP, but it’s good, right? Any combination of Canuck wins and opponent losses get you to the magic number. Shae has done a fantastic job at this. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alflives Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 11 minutes ago, Jimmy McGill said: we could go 14-18 and still make the playoffs? that doesn't seem right. Winning 16 playoff games this spring is the only number that matters. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Canucks-12 Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 88 points isn’t getting anyone in the playoffs. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arrow 1983 Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 (edited) 11 hours ago, Shaelon said: Hi guys, the magic number game is back, and it'll be more streamlined and simplified moving forward! I will be providing text updates as the season finishes up. The last time I did a chart was back in 2014-2015 when the canucks made the playoffs. Right now, here is the Canucks Magic #: Clinching Numbers: Playoffs: Current Expected playoff points: 88 Magic #: 28.5 Record to Achieve: 14-18-0 Division: Expected Points: 96 Magic #: 36.5 Record to Achieve: 18-14-0 Conference: Expected Points: 113 Magic #: 54.0 Record to Achieve: 26-5-1 88 pts to make the playoffs isn't even a historically correct when was the last time a team made the playoffs with 88 pts. 93-95 to make the playoffs Pacific Leader 99-101 (yes this is my Pacific Prediction, it will be a tight race to the end (From first in the Pacific 99-101pts to the last team in the pacific to make the Playoffs 93-95pts only up to a 8pt spread ) and I give you my Guarantee the Canucks win the Pacific division they need to win the least amount because of the games in hand. The Games in hand Guarantee them a spot in the playoffs and give them the greatest advantage to win the pacific. Don't believe me just look at the numbers. Central Leader you are probably correct here 108-114 Therefore, Conference would be 108-114 and League will be 108-114 (League leader will come from either the Central Metro or Alt division) OP just change all your #s to this and then you will be closer to correct Edited January 29, 2020 by Arrow 1983 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nucker 67 Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 I thought 88 was low as well, thinking it was around 95 points, but I still believe the Canucks will play hard to get there. They seem like a very determined bunch this year. My one concern these days though is the nuimber of shots and scoring chances they're allowing. Canucks have had great goaltending, but one average game could turn into a loss. They're going to need better D in the playoffs. Maybe Tryamkin joins them late in the season. I was thinking how this off season could feel very long. The Canucks are having a good season and if they make the playoffs, the season was a success. Who knows, maybe they do well, I can see them getting past the first round and that excitement starting to build. Next year will be very exciting, possibly adding Lind, Juolevi and Hoglander. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pears Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 51 minutes ago, Arrow 1983 said: 88 pts to make the playoffs isn't even a historically correct when was the last time a team made the playoffs with 88 pts. 93-95 to make the playoffs Pacific Leader 99-101 (yes this is my Pacific Prediction, it will be a tight race to the end (From first in the Pacific 99-101pts to the last team in the pacific to make the Playoffs 93-95pts only up to a 8pt spread ) and I give you my Guarantee the Canucks win the Pacific division they need to win the least amount because of the games in hand. The Games in hand Guarantee them a spot in the playoffs and give them the greatest advantage to win the pacific. Don't believe me just look at the numbers. Central Leader you are probably correct here 108-114 Therefore, Conference would be 108-114 and League will be 108-114 (League leader will come from either the Central Metro or Alt division) OP just change all your #s to this and then you will be closer to correct It does seem like a low number to get in yes, but with how close and weak the Pacific has been I don’t think it’ll take much more than that to get in this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlastPast Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 Vegas are on pace for 90 points, that would be the current min. point total necessary . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleowin Posted January 29, 2020 Author Share Posted January 29, 2020 1 hour ago, BlastPast said: Vegas are on pace for 90 points, that would be the current min. point total necessary . Nashville is projected to finish 9th with 87 pts, wpg / chi / min around 85 that means 88 pts is the current cut off. At the very most, it’ll increase to 91-92 pts like last season, but if everyone keeps pace, 88 pts will be the clinch line. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Provost Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 (edited) I don’t know how refined the calculations are behind this. Does it just count what all the teams are on pace for? Does it consider the respective records of opponents and the likely winners game by game? Does it consider road vs home records and calculate that into remaining schedules? Does it consider that the bulk of in division games are left to be played to there are guaranteed points there that “someone has to get” as well as those effectively being 4 point games. I like it in terms of probability. We currently have a 75.9% chance of making the playoffs and. 24.4% chance of winning the division. http://moneypuck.com/predictions.htm I take those odds any day for this point in the season, while at the same time have been a Canucks fan long enough to always have worry about things falling apart until we have it mathematically locked up. Edited January 29, 2020 by Provost 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rindiculous Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 (edited) 9 minutes ago, Provost said: I don’t know how refined the calculations are behind this. Does it consider that the bulk of division games are left to be played to there are guaranteed points there that “someone has to get” and 4 point games. I like it in terms of probability. We currently have a 75.9% chance of making the playoffs and. 24.4% chance of winning the division. http://moneypuck.com/predictions.htm I take those odds any day for this point in the season, while at the same time have been a Canucks fan long enough to always have worry about things falling apart until we have it mathematically locked up. Taking a quick look at that site I'm gonna take that with a grain of salt seeing at apparently Edmonton has a higher chance of winning the division with a lower point percentage. Also on this site: http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NHL.html Canucks have a 94.5 % chance of making the playoffs and over 50% chance of winning the division. Edited January 29, 2020 by Rindiculous 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
theo5789 Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 At our rate now, 26-5-1 feels achievable. Let's win that conference baby! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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