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6th Pick: 2014 NHL Entry Draft


davinci

6th Pick   

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LOTTO April 15th

We are drafting 6th currently and here are our odds heading into it:

6.2% chance we will win lotto. --> We Draft 1st Overall

76.8% chance a team 1-5 wins the lotto and our pick remains unchanged. --> We Draft 6th Overall

17% Chance a team 7-14 wins the lotto and our pick moves back one. --> We Draft 7th Overall

Not exactly correct because of the NJ factor if they opt to do a redraw.

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Canucks finishing 25th is bad news for those who wanted: Nylander, Ehlers or Kapanen.

If we do indeed get the 6th pick: Virtanen, Draisaitl, Richie or Perlini will be chosen.

There is zero chance of: Dal Colle, Ekblad, Bennett, or Reihart falling to 6th.

Actually securing the 6th pick is bad for those who wanted Virtanen, cause he's not a top 10 guy. Virtanen is a good pick at like 12-17, but not at #6.

I think the guy we will be looking at are Nylander, Ritchie, Perlini & Ehlers, but I really hope they give alot of consideration to Kapanen. (who might get a little)

And FWIW I think all the guys you listed are better choices at 6 than Virtanen. He's just not a guy you take that high.

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IT scares me there's no consensus pick in the 6 spot. We have the choice of so many players that are all around the same skill level. We could make a great decision or a terrible one...

WHO DO WE CHOOSE!?

oh wait do we need a GM first?

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2 days until we know we can draft Ekblad :)

But seriously, if the top 5 guys (Ekblad, Reinhart, Bennett, MDC, Draisaitl) are taken. We got Fluery, Richie, Perlini, Kapanen, Nylander, Ehlers, Virtanen, McCann to choose from.

I really don't know who to choose they all look pretty even.

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IT scares me there's no consensus pick in the 6 spot. We have the choice of so many players that are all around the same skill level. We could make a great decision or a terrible one...

WHO DO WE CHOOSE!?

oh wait do we need a GM first?

I wouldn't say great vs. terrible, it's safe vs. risky. Ehlers/Ritchie is a risky pick while Virtanen/McCann are not.

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IT scares me there's no consensus pick in the 6 spot. We have the choice of so many players that are all around the same skill level. We could make a great decision or a terrible one...

WHO DO WE CHOOSE!?

oh wait do we need a GM first?

It depends who slides.

If Dal Colle is there we should take him no question. Then Draisaitl, then Ehlers, then Ritchie. That's my order.

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Not exactly correct because of the NJ factor if they opt to do a redraw.

How is that not correct? NJ is picking 30th totally unconnected to the lotto?

Oh your right I included there spots odds, so it will just decrease the odds of us being pushed to seventh by 1.1% or 0.8% depends on PHX nashville games, great catch! So better odds for us overall!

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IT scares me there's no consensus pick in the 6 spot. We have the choice of so many players that are all around the same skill level. We could make a great decision or a terrible one...

WHO DO WE CHOOSE!?

oh wait do we need a GM first?

This. It is 100% accurate, it is a dropoff and from about 6-11 they are all very much even.

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Speak the English language to yourself a couple times.

So I guess in ur mind you think buff wins lotto,, lets do another draw for second,, another for third,, on and on?

It is 1 lotto draft pick that is all whoever wins wins first and the rest are adjusted according commmmmmon meow!

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I think it's if NJ wins the lottery their pick will be determined for the later rounds, then the team that has 2nd moves up to 1st.

Ya i am not sure how it works with them, but those odds are pretty close to what they will be

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This. It is 100% accurate, it is a dropoff and from about 6-11 they are all very much even.

Except you don't know who is going to get picked from 3-6 so you can't say who's available.

There's always a chance someone takes Ehlers or Ritchie at 4 or 5.

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2 days until we know we can draft Ekblad :)

But seriously, if the top 5 guys (Ekblad, Reinhart, Bennett, MDC, Draisaitl) are taken. We got Fluery, Richie, Perlini, Kapanen, Nylander, Ehlers, Virtanen, McCann to choose from.

I really don't know who to choose they all look pretty even.

It will be a tough decision if that is the case one that could define Lindens career as our president :frantic:

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