OMG Hurricane?

[ForsbergTheGreat]

11 minutes ago, GLASSJAW said:

https://www.salon.com/2014/05/28/wsjs_shameful_climate_denial_the_scientific_consensus_is_not_a_myth/

It's been debunked over 100 times.  quite sad that you are stuck with your head in the sand. 

 

 

https://www.forbes.com/sites/alexepstein/2015/01/06/97-of-climate-scientists-agree-is-100-wrong/2/#cc746a134141

 

 

Edited September 26, 2017 by ForsbergTheGreat

[canuckledraggin]

On 9/22/2017 at 1:34 AM, Green Building said:

Wow, pretty crazy if true. 

 

Puerto Rico: Power system 'basically ... destroyed'

Puerto Ricans might not get power back for four to six months, said Ricardo Ramos, the CEO of Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority.

"The system has been basically destroyed," Ramos told CNN. He said hospitals and water systems will get priority power restoration.

Hurricane Maria has flattened the U.S. territory. There are reports it could take up to 4 months to restore power. There's a good eyewitness account from the OP in this thread... http://www.godlikeproductions.com/forum1/message3646713/pg1

[GLASSJAW]

38 minutes ago, ForsbergTheGreat said:

It's been debunked over 100 times.  quite sad that you are stuck with your head in the sand. 

 

 

https://www.forbes.com/sites/alexepstein/2015/01/06/97-of-climate-scientists-agree-is-100-wrong/2/#cc746a134141

 

 

hope you read the one i posted

[-Vintage Canuck-]

Hawaii may face direct hit, serious damage from Hurricane Lane to end this week:

 

Quote

Major Hurricane Lane is forecast to close in on Hawaii and threaten lives and property on the islands due to pounding surf, flash flooding, mudslides and strong winds.

 

There is the possibility of Lane making a direct hit on one or more of the islands late this week and into this weekend.

 

The farther west Lane tracks prior to making an anticipated northward turn for a time may lower the severity of impacts. The ultimate severity of impacts will depend on the exact track and strength of Lane.

 

Hawaii Gov. David Ige has signed an emergency proclamation in advance of the hurricane. Some schools have also been closed until further notice. 

 

Even in lieu of a direct hit, "Lane has the potential of bringing the state of Hawaii serious and perhaps record damage," according to AccuWeather Hurricane Expert Dan Kottlowski.

 

 

"All residents and interests on the islands should closely monitor Hurricane Lane and pay particular attention to local officials on possible evacuations and preparations," Kottlowski said.

 

Download the free AccuWeather app for the latest forecast and advisories related to Hurricane Lane.

 

Damage to homes and businesses may occur.

 

Despite forecast weakening and a curved path by AccuWeather meteorologists over the next few days, residents and visitors of Hawaii should not let their guard down as Lane will remain a dangerous and potentially life-threatening storm.

 

"Satellite derived wind data suggests shear is starting to increase over the hurricane, and this should cause the hurricane to begin the expected weakening trend on Wednesday," Kottlowski said.

 

 

Wind shear is the increase in wind speed at increasing elevation or sudden increase in straight-line winds over distance in the atmosphere.

 

"However, this weakening is expected to be slow at first, and Lane will remain a very powerful and very dangerous hurricane as it approaches the Hawaiian Islands."

 

Lane was a Category 5, 160-mph hurricane during Tuesday night and became only one of two Category 5 hurricanes to pass within 350 miles of Hawaii, according to the National Weather Service office in Honolulu, Hawaii. The last was Hurricane John in 1994.

 

As of Wednesday morning, Lane is a Category 4 hurricane, but continued gradual weakening is forecast as the hurricane turns northwestward just south and west of the island chain. A Category 4 hurricane has maximum sustained winds of 130 to 156 mph.

 

 

"People should be prepared for power outages, coastal flooding, beach erosion, downed trees and major travel disruptions," according to AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Alex Sosnowski.

 

Lane is following in the footsteps of Major Hurricane Hector from earlier this month. While Hector maintained a straight westward course, Lane has made half of the forecast turn to the northwest during Tuesday night and Wednesday morning.

 

 

At this time, AccuWeather meteorologists are still expecting Lane to track 90 to 100 miles west of the Big Island during Thursday evening, Hawaii Standard Time (HST).

 

Lane is forecast to get as close as 80 miles southwest of O'ahu Friday afternoon.

 

People on Kauai can expect the closest approach of 55 to 60 miles later Friday night to Saturday morning.

 

"As a caveat, there is a risk of a direct hit on any of these islands should a delay in the turn to the west occur," Kottlowski said.

 

People can expect tropical storm conditions with hurricane-force gusts (74 mph or greater) to precede the closest approach by about 12 hours.

Coastal communities should be prepared for storm surge flooding and overwash where large waves crash ashore.

 

Although Lane may only be a Category 1 hurricane or tropical storm on its closest approach to the islands, it will still be capable of bringing powerful wind gusts and torrential rainfall. Even a close glancing blow can lead to a significant number of power outages and fallen trees.

 

Rainfall of 12 inches is likely in many locations of the islands. An AccuWeather Local StormMax of 20 inches is forecast in some locations. In locations that are typically sheltered during the prevailing northeast trade winds, rainfall of this nature can lead to catastrophic flash flooding and mudslides.

 

Bathers, boarders and boaters venturing in the waters will be some of the first at risk from Lane.

 

"Large swells radiating outward from the center of the hurricane began generating rough surf along the east- and south-facing coastal areas of the Big Island and Maui on Tuesday," Kottlowski said. "These conditions will worsen into Wednesday and progress northwestward across the island chain through the end of the week."

 

Rip currents will increase in number and strength.

 

It can very dangerous for ocean vessels south of the islands as well as small craft attempting to navigate the inter-island channels.

 

It is from Thursday to Saturday, at which time Lane will be close by or over the Hawaiian Islands, that seas and surf will be the most dangerous.

 

All advisories or beach closures issued by authorities and lifeguards should be heeded as waves build and rip currents increase in number and strength.

 

"These potentially damaging winds could spread east and northward over the rest of the islands Thursday night through Saturday," Kottlowski added.

 

Hurricanes that track in from the east and close by to Hawaii typically encounter cooler waters and weaken before reaching the islands. The most destructive hurricanes to hit Hawaii, such as Iniki in 1992, have typically approached the islands from the south.

 

While there are no additional threats from the tropics in the short term, additional threats from tropical storms and hurricanes are likely into the autumn, due to a developing El Niño.

 

Because El Niño is a plume of warmer-than-average waters over the tropical Pacific Ocean, the warm water can sustain more hurricanes than average over the eastern and central Pacific, cause them to be stronger in nature and allow them to retain strength for a longer period of time as they approach Hawaii.

https://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/hawaii-may-face-direct-hit-from-hurricane-lane-to-end-this-week/70005829

[-Vintage Canuck-]

Hurricane Florence's 'Mike Tyson punch' is shaping up to deliver disaster for days to the Carolina coast:

 

Quote

Carolina Beach, North Carolina (CNN)Hurricane Florence is now forecast to pause late this week just off North Carolina's coast and turn left -- a development that would still smash the Tar Heel State with life-threatening storm surge, catastrophic winds and inundating rain while putting more of South Carolina in greater danger.

 

"This is not going to be a glancing blow. ... This is going to be a Mike Tyson punch to the Carolina coast" from Thursday into the weekend, Federal Emergency Management Agency associate administrator Jeff Byard said Wednesday morning.

 

 

"Today is the last good day to evacuate," he warned.

 

Florence, one of the strongest storms on the Eastern Seaboard in decades, is a Category 4 hurricane with winds of 130 mph. It is predicted to deliver tropical-storm-force winds by noon Thursday to North Carolina's coast, and hurricane-force winds and dangerous storm surges by late Thursday or early Friday.

 

Forecast models predict Florence's center will pause just off North Carolina late Friday and make a southward turn, and it may not make landfall until roughly Saturday.

 

"More people are involved in this now, especially even Myrtle Beach, because the storm was not (previously) forecast to turn left toward you," CNN meteorologist Chad Myers said Wednesday morning.

Latest developments

• Location: By 8 a.m. Wednesday, the storm was 530 miles southeast of Cape Fear, North Carolina, with maximum sustained winds of 130 mph.

• Some big dangers: The storm's circulation could bring huge storm surges to the front-right quadrant of storm -- covering much of North Carolina's coast -- and those effects also could extend to South Carolina if the storm stalls and turns left as predicted.

• Don't stare at the eye: "We can't focus on the eye on this thing, because (Florence is) 150 miles wide from one side to the other," and tropical-storm-force winds extend up to 175 miles from center, Myers said.

• Rain and storm surges: Life-threatening storm surges -- up to 13 feet -- are expected along parts of the Carolina coasts. Up to 40 inches of rain could fall -- bringing possible catastrophic flash flooding -- to parts of the Carolinas through early next week, with heavy rain also likely in the Appalachians and Mid-Atlantic states, the National Hurricane Center said.

• 'Storm of a lifetime': Florence is expected to weaken Thursday, but it's still forecast to be a dangerous hurricane as it reaches the coast. "This will likely be the storm of a lifetime for portions of the Carolina coast, and that's saying a lot given the impacts we've seen from Hurricanes Diana, Hugo, Fran, Bonnie, Floyd and Matthew," the National Weather Service in Wilmington, North Carolina, said late Tuesday.

 

Residents flee as storm gets closer

More than 1 million people are under mandatory evacuations in the Carolinas and Virginia.

 

Hurricane and storm surge warnings are in place from South Santee River, South Carolina, to Duck, North Carolina. Hurricane warnings are issued 36 hours before tropical-storm-force winds hit the areas. Storm surge warnings indicate a danger of life-threatening inundation from rising water moving inland from the coastline during the coming 36 hours.

 

 

As Florence closed in, some residents weighed whether to ride it out.

 

In Wilmington, Richard King, 64, said Wednesday morning that he, his wife and perhaps 60 of their neighbors planned to stay. His home, built 1 mile inland in 2016, is raised 25 feet off the ground and is built to withstand 140-mph winds, he said.

 

"We're a good community up there. We're going to stay tight and check on everybody," he said.

 

 

By contrast, Allison Jones said she's not taking any chances.

 

Her home in Hillsborough, North Carolina, is at risk for flooding, and her family and nearby relatives will ride out the storm in Chattanooga, Tennessee, she said. The five adults, six children, plus a dog and a cat planned to leave their homes Wednesday.

 

The adults packed irreplaceable items, such as photo albums and heirlooms, while the kids stuffed their favorite toys, blankets and books into bags.

"Honestly, it tears me up thinking that, What if in the end of this, this is all we have left?" Jones said. "I wish I had more time to sort through and grab more of the sentimental items."

No rescues for people who stay, mayor warns

Just south of Wilmington, the coastal town of Carolina Beach is under a mandatory evacuation -- but officials there think about 100 people will try to ride out the storm there. And those leaders aren't happy about it.

 

 

Those who stay will be on their own once water starts to rise and wind speeds reach 50 mph -- long before hurricane-force winds reach the coast, Town Manager Michael Cramer said.

 

"Many of our emergency personnel vehicles are high-top vehicles. They have potential for rollover. We have high water here," Cramer told CNN Wednesday morning. "I won't send people out to risk their lives for people who didn't heed the warnings. ... They'll be there basically all alone until that threshold is met again and we have winds under that speed."

'My home is all my wife and I have'

Tim Terman's house in Southport, North Carolina, is about 20 feet above sea level, he said. He's staying put -- for now.

 

 

"Once you leave, (it's) hard to get back in to check on damage," he said. "My home is all my wife and I have, materially speaking, a lifetime of stuff."

Meantime, residents along the coast boarded up their homes, lined up at gas stations and emptied supermarket shelves.

 

In South Carolina, Myrtle Beach Mayor Brenda Bethune took note of the forecasts' shift toward her state Wednesday and urged people to evacuate.

"We have urged our public safety, police and fire (personnel) to get some rest," she said. "We will be asking a lot of them, I'm sure."

Emergencies declared in several states

 

The Federal Emergency Management Agency warned that storm surge watches and warnings are in effect Wednesday for the entire North Carolina coast and parts of South Carolina. It urged residents to heed evacuation orders.

 

Officials in several states have declared states of emergency, including Virginia and Maryland, where coastal areas are still recovering from summer storms.

"We are hoping for the best and preparing for the worst," Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan said, noting that Florence could cause catastrophic flooding in his state.

Traffic redirected away from the coast

In South Carolina, traffic in all lanes of Interstate 26 from Charleston to Columbia has been directed away from the coast, South Carolina Gov. Henry McMaster said.

 

 

Residents in hurricane evacuation zones had until noon Tuesday to evacuate. McMaster ordered the closure of schools and state government offices for nonessential personnel in affected areas.

 

Some schools in inland counties will be used as shelters, and officials urged families with pets to board them with veterinarians, kennels or other facilities in nonvulnerable areas.

 

"Pets are not allowed inside Red Cross evacuation shelters," McMaster said.

 

North Carolina officials evacuated long-term care facilities and hundreds of prisoners in vulnerable areas, and also closed state parks, museums and other attractions.

 

"Residents in central North Carolina should be prepared to feel the impact of the storm from Thursday night through at least Monday due to threat of flooding and widespread and prolonged power outages," Gov. Cooper said.

 

In Virginia, mandatory evacuations began Tuesday for about 245,000 residents in a portion of the Eastern Shore area.

 

Florence could have devastating impacts in Virginia, including storm surges, inland flooding, downed trees and power outages, Gov. Ralph Northam said.

CNN's Kaylee Hartung reported from Carolina Beach, and Jason Hanna and Faith Karimi wrote in Atlanta. CNN's Justin Gamble, Amanda Jackson, Paul P. Murphy, Chuck Johnston, Nick Valencia, Michelle Krupa and Keith Allen contributed to this report.

https://www.cnn.com/2018/09/12/us/hurricane-florence-south-east-coast-wxc/index.html

[canuckledraggin]

Florence has been downgraded to a Cat2, but the storm surge is already bringing 25 ft. waves. Crazy Jeff Piotrowski will be doing his usual livestream and hopefully finds another little blue shed somewhere.

 

 

 

 

Edited September 13, 2018 by canuckledraggin

[Nuxfanabroad]

Think we'll be hearing an awful lot about this monster in the coming days. Over on Wunderground(weather Underground) they've got a lively & educational discussion/analysis(comment section) for those who are interested in tracking such huge storms.

 

I think 155 mph classifies as a Cat 5, & apparently this one's had readings of almost 180 mph. Approaching Bahamas(low lying Isle chain)..best to all pray for them folk, this could get very ugly.

 

Many posters suggesting those inhabitants will go thru a Nagasaki/Hiroshima-like experience.

[FaninMex]

Its path has changed a lot in the last few days which is good to see. However, there is another hurricane forming just above Cancun. This is not good as that area has been warmer than usual.

 

I hope everyone in these areas is safe. All the best.

 

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

[Ossi Vaananen]

Don't shoot at it:

 

 

[trek]

Didn't the Orange want to nuke it?

[kingofsurrey]

Thoughts and wishes to anyone in its path.  

 

Sadly the most vulnerable people in society are typically the ones that lack  even the resources to  flee these kinds of catastrophic events...

[xereau]

That storm is insanely powerful atm. 185mph winds. 215mph gusts.

 

On NOAA live tracker like 15mins ago.

 

Still tracking west but it 'should' slide north towards the jetstream.

 

But this thing has momentum and it might not, and hasn't been tracking as predicted for the last 24hrs.

It could potentially grind its eyewall along the entire coastline from West Palm Beach up into Georgia.

Edited September 1, 2019 by xereau

[Canorth]

1 hour ago, xereau said:

That storm is insanely powerful atm. 185mph winds. 215mph gusts.

 

On NOAA live tracker like 15mins ago.

 

Still tracking west but it 'should' slide north towards the jetstream.

 

But this thing has momentum and it might not, and hasn't been tracking as predicted for the last 24hrs.

It could potentially grind its eyewall along the entire coastline from West Palm Beach up into Georgia.

Crazy! I’ve never seen numbers that high. And it’s only moving at 7mph - a slow walking pace. This beast is hungry.

[Ossi Vaananen]

 

Inside the 'eye' of the hurricane

[Nuxfanabroad]

Unbelievable damage in the Bahamas. Seen some after-footage on Abaco Isle. Beyond description.

 

Now these poor inhabitants of Grand Bahama(next major island) have had a Cat 5(now 4) parked over them for about 16 hrs! Unimaginable apocalypse.

[thedestroyerofworlds]

Not a total disaster.

 

TRUMP got his usual weekend rounds of golf in.

 

/s

[Warhippy]

If there is any karmic justice in the world, it will spare the US completely except for Mar-a-Lago which will be swallowed by wind and wave and scoured clean from the world and its owner will be denied federal assistance via FEMA to fix it due to budget cuts

[Violator]

12 hours ago, Nuxfanabroad said:

Unbelievable damage in the Bahamas. Seen some after-footage on Abaco Isle. Beyond description.

 

Now these poor inhabitants of Grand Bahama(next major island) have had a Cat 5(now 4) parked over them for about 16 hrs! Unimaginable apocalypse.

Wonder how brian baulmers hotel is doing in the Bahamas.

[RUPERTKBD]

1 hour ago, Violator said:

Wonder how brian baulmers hotel is doing in the Bahamas.

I was wondering the same. Luckily for him, he's on Adros Island which didn't get hit directly:

 

 

Andros is that large island to the south and west of the storm, that looks roughly like Haida Gwaii. The islands of Abaco (Marsh Harbour) and Grand Bahama (Freeport) are north and were both directly in the path of Dorian.

 

Still, being this close to a category 5, I can't imagine they aren't dealing with extremely high winds, very much capable of causing damage. I'm guessing we'll see when season 2 of Island of Brian rolls around.

[riffraff]

1 hour ago, Violator said:

Wonder how brian baulmers hotel is doing in the Bahamas.

Am I bad because I don’t care?