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Predicting Canucks leading scorers 2017-2018


Ursel23

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Ok - I'll play.  

 

Horvat – 62 points (25 goals)

Henrik Sedin – 56 points (13 goals)

Daniel Sedin – 54 points (20 goals)

Boeser – 45 points (24 goals)

Granlund – 44 points (22 goals)

Eriksson – 42 points (22 goals)

Baertschi – 41 points (20 goals)

Gagner – 40 points (16 goals)
Sutter – 35 points (18 goals)

Stecher – 30 points (6 goals)

Hutton – 29 points (7 goals)

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15 hours ago, Ursel23 said:

I'd say you got some pretty low predictions for Baertschi and Granlund. I personally think that they will both have the best years they've had. 

Well, last season was Granlund's best year (32 points) and before that his NHL high was 18. Some are saying he'll get 45-50 points this year. That. to me, seems to be overshooting. I just used an approximate using his best year (32). I gave him 34. Seems reasonable. Last year Baertschi got a NHL high 35 points. His previous NHL best was 28. I gave him 35 again. Just trying to be realistic.

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Just for fun as I don't even know what the opening day line up will look like:

 

Henrik Sedin – 58 points (13 goals)

Bo Horvat – 56 points (25 goals)

Daniel Sedin – 55 points (20 goals)

Loui Eriksson – 48 points (20 goals)

Markus Granlund – 43 points (22 goals)

Sven Baertschi – 42 points (20 goals)

Brock Boeser – 40 points (22 goals)

Sam Gagner – 38 points (13 goals)
Brandon Sutter – 36 points (16 goals)

Troy Stecher – 30 points (6 goals)

Ben Hutton – 27 points (6 goals)

Alexander Edler –- 25 points (7 goals)

Alex Burmistrov –- 22 points (8 goals)

Michael Del Zotto –- 20 points (5 goals)

Chris Tanev –- 16 points (4 goals)

 

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16 hours ago, Laheys Liquor said:

Love the optimism, but cant see the team scoring 302 goals next year

More I didn't include the 25 other goals tertiary players not included would score.  Did you really spend the time to add that up...I didnt.  

 

Looking at some fantasy mags paints a different picture.  Bo's the only guy to break 50, the Sedins and Boeser 40. ... Not much to get excited about including our goaltenders, THN has them barely getting 30 wins collectively.  

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Bo
Boesser
Granny
Gagner
Sedin
Eriksson
Sedin
Sutter
Baer
Edler

 

twins are not going to get more then 50 anymore so this is why my list is what it is, hope some younger guys step up and make this list wrong,but as is think this should not be to far off unless injuries  Boeser should make the team and what we saw last yes he should be up there in points

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Assuming 82 games played 

 

Horvat 55

Baertschi 46

H Sedin 46

D Sedin 41

Gagner 39

Eriksson 37

Granlund 34

Rodin 32

Del Zotto 31

Goldobin 30

Sutter 28

Boucher 27

Stecher 26

Edler 24

Hutton 24

Burmistrov 19

Tanev 18

Wiercoch 17

Gaunce 16

Dorsett 13

Gudbranson 12

Chaput 11

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I think Bo will win it with about 60 points.

The Sedins in a reduced 2nd line role will get about 50 to 55 points each.

I think Eriksson will rebound to 20 goals and 50 points.

Brock Boeser will score about 30 goals and 50 points.

Sven Baertschi will get about 20 goals and 45 points.

Granlund will get about 20 goals and 40 points.

Sutter will get about 20 goals and 35 points.

 

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22 hours ago, Laheys Liquor said:

Love the optimism, but cant see the team scoring 302 goals next year

This happens a lot on this site.  People don't account for injuries and so forth.

We end up with 300 goals.  Easily surpassing the 2011 team by a half goal per game.

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Bo: 22G 34A

Henrik: 11G 42A Pts

Daniel: 24G 32A

Brock: 26G 28A

Baer: 15G 22A

Gagner: 23G 25A

Erikson: 14G 22A

Sutter: 11G 16A

Grandlund: 11G 14A (Off the Sedin line, he gets exposed for what he really is....like sooo many others everyone likes to forget about)

Edler: 8G 19A

Gaunce: 15G 11A (bounce back)

Guds: 3G 4A

Goldy: 15G 14A

Subban 8G 28A

Not in order, but this is how I see things shaping up. Green will be under orders to make Goldy work this year, because it's now or never for him and this team, Grandlund and Baer are shown to be what they are: Not anything special. Brock and Bo kill it, Sedin's play well, Erickson continues to suck and may even ask to be moved, Sutter loses some of his offensive ice time, Gagner comes as advertised or a bit better as he shows he can, in fact, play 5 on 5 hockey, Edler is pathetically disengaged, Gaunce gets a bit of the "Make it work" Goldy-style treatment and it pays off, Gudbransson proves again what most NHL fans who play the game have known for years: he has an NHL body and AHL skills, Virtanen doesn't see NHL ice, and if an offer comes along, is traded as quietly as possible to the east (Probably to the Panthers to join his buddy McCann who needs help destroying that teams chemistry) Subban finally gets his shot under Green and proves the doubters wrong. At the deadline, Grandlund goes to Minny as a depth forward, Baer goes to Pits in their usual spring winger stock up, Sutter goes to NAS to fill the Checking center role, and Erikson goes to Vegas (not at the deadline) when they have trouble scoring and the fans get bored (We retain A LOT of salary) 

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Optimism is pretty high with a lot of posters. This team has had a tough time scoring goals in the last 3 seasons, you could say even going back to 2013. A new coach,systems,line combos are going to take a lot of time to get chemistry. I think they will score a tad more than last year but not anywhere close to some predictions.

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On 8/15/2017 at 3:56 PM, Ursel23 said:

Yeah I agree. WD was definitely not the best fit as coach last year. I was surprised he lasted as long as he did. Are you saying that without him Eriksson and the twins will flourish this year? I'm eager to see what Travis Green can do but I'm a little worried we went with an unproven coach @ an NHL level.

I understand where your coming from but every NHL coach started out unproven at some point.  Keenan and Torts were proven NHL COACHES but  only lasted a year here. It all depends  if the coach can be suited to the players style of play.

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Baertschi (25g, 28a, 53p) - Horvat (24g, 45a, 69p) - Boeser (31g, 23a, 54p) (and 2nd in the Calder)

D, Sedin (16g, 25a, 41p) - H. Sedin (10g, 33a, 43p) - Granlund (21g, 17a, 38p)

Eriksson (20g, 20a, 40p) - Sutter (22g, 19a, 41p) - Gagner (17g, 33a, 50p) (and with his addition, the PP climbs all the way to 13th in the league)

Virtanen(9g, 8a, 17p) - Burmistrov (4g, 7a, 11p) /Gaunce (3g, 9a, 12p) - Boucher (9g, 6a, 15p) (Burmistrov doesn't figure it out, traded at deadline)

Other forwards: Dorsett (2g, 3a, 5p), McEwen (1g, 2a) Cassels (0g, 1a), Goldobin (3g, 2a)

 

Tanev (4g, 15a) - Hutton (8g, 29a)

Edler (5g, 14a) - Stetcher (5g, 28a)

MDZ (8g, 22a) - Guddy (1g, 11a) (traded at deadline)

Pedan (1g, 2a), Weircioch (2g, 5a), Holm (0g, 2a) Biega (0g, 2a)

 

Total of 251!  This only happens if everyone stays healthy and plays close to potential. I could easily see either/both of the Twins slumping even farther, Sutter not coming close, Burmistrov not figuring it out at all, and one major injury screwing up one player completely; then the total will be around 210.

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3 hours ago, Father Ryan said:

Baertschi (25g, 28a, 53p) - Horvat (24g, 45a, 69p) - Boeser (31g, 23a, 54p) (and 2nd in the Calder)

D, Sedin (16g, 25a, 41p) - H. Sedin (10g, 33a, 43p) - Granlund (21g, 17a, 38p)

Eriksson (20g, 20a, 40p) - Sutter (22g, 19a, 41p) - Gagner (17g, 33a, 50p) (and with his addition, the PP climbs all the way to 13th in the league)

Virtanen(9g, 8a, 17p) - Burmistrov (4g, 7a, 11p) /Gaunce (3g, 9a, 12p) - Boucher (9g, 6a, 15p) (Burmistrov doesn't figure it out, traded at deadline)

Other forwards: Dorsett (2g, 3a, 5p), McEwen (1g, 2a) Cassels (0g, 1a), Goldobin (3g, 2a)

 

Tanev (4g, 15a) - Hutton (8g, 29a)

Edler (5g, 14a) - Stetcher (5g, 28a)

MDZ (8g, 22a) - Guddy (1g, 11a) (traded at deadline)

Pedan (1g, 2a), Weircioch (2g, 5a), Holm (0g, 2a) Biega (0g, 2a)

 

Total of 251!  This only happens if everyone stays healthy and plays close to potential. I could easily see either/both of the Twins slumping even farther, Sutter not coming close, Burmistrov not figuring it out at all, and one major injury screwing up one player completely; then the total will be around 210.

Thats what the 2011 team scored, 1st in the league..dream on.

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On 2017-08-16 at 0:29 AM, apollo said:

Man oh man... if Loui hits 35... sure it's 11 more than last year, but you seriously have to contemplate a buy out at some point? 

 

I just went to the calculator and wow there's really no savings... I think it's because he got so much of it in signing bonuses... we're doomed. Loui better put up 50+ .... he is capable. 

 

SEASON SALARY INITIAL CAP HIT ACTUAL COST SAVINGS BUYOUT CAP HIT
2018-19 $1,000,000 $6,000,000 $500,000 $500,000 $5,500,000
2019-20 $1,000,000 $6,000,000 $500,000 $500,000 $5,500,000
2020-21 $1,000,000 $6,000,000 $500,000 $500,000 $5,500,000
2021-22 $3,000,000 $6,000,000 $500,000 $2,500,000 $3,500,000
2022-23 $0 $0 $500,000 -$500,000 $500,000
2023-24 $0 $0 $500,000 -$500,000 $500,000
2024-25 $0 $0 $500,000 -$500,000 $500,000
2025-26 $0 $0 $500,000 -$500,000 $500,000

 

Or maybe Aquaman could gift someone in Loui's family 15 million in Condo's and have him retire? It's 9 mill less than he'll actually make but he'll get it right away and it'll probably be worth 30 million by contracts end? 

 

Yea... it's what I hope happens... it is quite optimistic, but with a solid winger, it could be possible. Assuming Loui contributes to their line

Yeah, that Loui signing didn't make sense back then, and it sure as hell doesn't make sense now. We have him for five more seasons... 

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