CanucksJay Posted April 11, 2022 Share Posted April 11, 2022 1 hour ago, nux_win said: OK, but the point is that there are still too many variables to talk certainties. GCG! I think that the team's are on different trajectories. LA is missing some key players and are just trying to hang on while Canucks are starting to press. If there was 20 games left, I have no doubt Canucks would overtake LA. There were 5 key moments in Canucks hockey this year 1) TG era... Just awful 2) BB bump 7-0-1 start 3) Game postponements while we were on a hot streak 4) Team getting decimated with covid after resumption of play 5) Poor recent homestand. I would say we were pretty unlucky. I do wonder now in hindsight where we would be if we played the 5 postponed games while we were on fire and then took the 5 games off when our team was relegated to icing an AHL calibre lineup along with our 4th string goalie immediately after. That being said, we blew it in our homestand when we got 1 out of 4 pts VS sabres and wings. Those 3 pts would look pretty good right now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CanucksJay Posted April 11, 2022 Share Posted April 11, 2022 (edited) Absolute things needed to make the playoffs 1) Win the game we have in hand over LA 2) Beat LA in regulation when we face them 3) win one more game than LA in the remaining 7 games. That doesn't seem as far fetched when looking at it that way? I do like that they are playing the ducks twice. Battle of Cali. I'm sure Anaheim would love to knock the Kings outta the playoffs. It's not impossible. Ducks have beaten us like 3 times this year. Edited April 11, 2022 by CanucksJay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VegasCanuck Posted April 11, 2022 Share Posted April 11, 2022 We have to be almost perfect, other teams have a lot more wiggle room. I think we need at least 95 points which means that we can only spare to drop about 3 points in the last 9 games. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gurn Posted April 11, 2022 Share Posted April 11, 2022 4 minutes ago, CanucksJay said: Absolute things needed to make the playoffs 1) Win the game we have in hand over LA 2) Beat LA in regulation when we face them 3) win one more game than LA in the remaining 7 games. That doesn't seem as far fetched when looking at it that way? Canucks six points back, with a game in hand. win the game in hand Canucks now 4 points back-to tie win the head to head now 2 points back- to tie win one more, now tied with L.A. who holds the tie breaker? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CanucksJay Posted April 11, 2022 Share Posted April 11, 2022 1 minute ago, VegasCanuck said: We have to be almost perfect, other teams have a lot more wiggle room. I think we need at least 95 points which means that we can only spare to drop about 3 points in the last 9 games. We have a tough schedule but the teams are all beatable. Toughest opponent is Cgy and Minni I believe. No more juggernauts like Carolina, Colorado Fla etc. It really sucks that they can't afford any off games though. Pretty high pressure. LA has an easier schedule but plays Col and Van. I'm hoping between the 2 Ana and 2 Chi games there's also a couple of losses. They can very well go. 4-4 in the remaining games 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CanucksJay Posted April 11, 2022 Share Posted April 11, 2022 3 minutes ago, gurn said: Canucks six points back, with a game in hand. win the game in hand Canucks now 4 points back-to tie win the head to head now 2 points back- to tie win one more, now tied with L.A. who holds the tie breaker? Canucks hold tie breaker. They would have more regulation wins We just need to Tie them 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wanless Posted April 11, 2022 Share Posted April 11, 2022 22 minutes ago, CanucksJay said: I think that the team's are on different trajectories. LA is missing some key players and are just trying to hang on while Canucks are starting to press. If there was 20 games left, I have no doubt Canucks would overtake LA. There were 5 key moments in Canucks hockey this year 1) TG era... Just awful 2) BB bump 7-0-1 start 3) Game postponements while we were on a hot streak 4) Team getting decimated with covid after resumption of play 5) Poor recent homestand. I would say we were pretty unlucky. I do wonder now in hindsight where we would be if we played the 5 postponed games while we were on fire and then took the 5 games off when our team was relegated to icing an AHL calibre lineup along with our 4th string goalie immediately after. That being said, we blew it in our homestand when we got 1 out of 4 pts VS sabres and wings. Those 3 pts would look pretty good right now. Thats the crappy thing. Was that not an ownership call to not have home games at limited capacity 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CanucksJay Posted April 11, 2022 Share Posted April 11, 2022 1 minute ago, Wanless said: Thats the crappy thing. Was that not an ownership call to not have home games at limited capacity Yeah it was. Had we gone 5-0 or even 4-1, it would have put the pressure on the other teams. I do wonder though if we would be able to postpone games on the road though because we did the dreaded SE road trip immediately after the postponed games. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CanucksJay Posted April 11, 2022 Share Posted April 11, 2022 Lol this sucks... I have a few grand hinging on Canucks making the playoffs. I think that's why I'm so harsh on TG because I really put the blame on him for this team not sitting in a playoff position. He's gonna have to go back to the AHL and work his way back up. All the media pundits that defended him are out to lunch. The proof is in the pudding. 8-15-2 VS 27-13-8 BB Literally almost doubled the production. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stawns Posted April 11, 2022 Share Posted April 11, 2022 16 hours ago, Elias Pettersson said: We’re not trying to catch Dallas. We are trying to catch LA and Vegas. If we run the table we would certainly overtake both of them. Van and Vegas are chasing both paths, division and wild card........LA, Dal and Nashville are all vulnerable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris12345 Posted April 11, 2022 Share Posted April 11, 2022 1 hour ago, CanucksJay said: Absolute things needed to make the playoffs 1) Win the game we have in hand over LA 2) Beat LA in regulation when we face them 3) win one more game than LA in the remaining 7 games. That doesn't seem as far fetched when looking at it that way? I do like that they are playing the ducks twice. Battle of Cali. I'm sure Anaheim would love to knock the Kings outta the playoffs. It's not impossible. Ducks have beaten us like 3 times this year. Right....what about Vegas? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jayinblack Posted April 11, 2022 Share Posted April 11, 2022 (edited) 5 hours ago, gurn said: Canucks six points back, with a game in hand. win the game in hand Canucks now 4 points back-to tie win the head to head now 2 points back- to tie win one more, now tied with L.A. who holds the tie breaker? We're tied with the for RW now, so under your scenario we would take that Edited April 11, 2022 by Jayinblack 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris12345 Posted April 11, 2022 Share Posted April 11, 2022 32 minutes ago, 6of1_halfdozenofother said: That's all fine and dandy to leapfrog over LAK - but don't forget that the Vegas Golden Showers are ahead of us still and could bump us out of the playoffs if they take 3rd in the division. Bingo.....there are 3 teams fighting for 3rd not 2. There are 5 teams fighting for 2 wild card spots? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris12345 Posted April 11, 2022 Share Posted April 11, 2022 1 minute ago, 6of1_halfdozenofother said: 6, if you include Winterpeg. Exactly....which they won't make it but if people on here are rambling about running the table Winterpeg must be considered. Can't double dip. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kloubek Posted April 11, 2022 Share Posted April 11, 2022 4 minutes ago, 6of1_halfdozenofother said: 6, if you include Winterpeg. Well, according to Moneypuck (And I have no idea as to the validity of their information), the Canucks are sitting at about 5.6% chance of making the playoffs as it is. Winnipeg: 0.3%. Going by this, it doesn't look like we have to worry about them much at this point. (With that said, I think before the last 3 wins we were sitting at a similar number, so who knows...) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CanucksJay Posted April 11, 2022 Share Posted April 11, 2022 11 minutes ago, Jayinblack said: We're tied with the for ROW now, so under your scenario we would take that I think tiebreaker is regulation wins (RW) . So OT and shootout doesn't count. We are tied with LA currently at 29 RW. We have a game in hand and if we are in a position at the end of the year where we are tied, the math is that we would have had to have more regulation wins. On the other hand, Vegas beats us in a RW tiebreaker... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CanucksJay Posted April 11, 2022 Share Posted April 11, 2022 18 minutes ago, Chris12345 said: Right....what about Vegas? Yeah true we have to beat Vegas as well I think Vegas has the Toughest remaining schedule out of LA, Dallas, Van and Vegas though With the exception of NJ, Sharks, and Hawks they are playing playoff teams or us. They could very well lose the next 3 (van, Cgy, edm) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flat land fish Posted April 11, 2022 Share Posted April 11, 2022 It all starts with beating Vegas tomorrow. I think the kings will be lucky to win half their remaining games their d is in shambles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BCNate Posted April 11, 2022 Share Posted April 11, 2022 I think we go 6-3 the rest of the way. To think we are going to run the table in our last 12 games isn't really reasonable. If we go 6-3, we end at 92 points. (We are 5-2-2 in our last 9, so same amount of points) LA would have to go 3-5 (They are 3-3-2 in last 8). I could see this happening, despite their soft schedule to end the year. Injuries are adding up. LV would have to go 4-5 (They are 6-3 in last 9) They currently have the tie breaker, but that would be muddy if we win 6, and they win 4 (1 would have to come in OT). They have a tough road, with VAN, Cal, EDM, STL, WAS, DAL. Dallas would need to go 3-7, but we have the tie breaker, and they play TB,MIN, VAN, CAL, EDM, LV. 6-3 may give you a small chance. In those 9 games, we absolutely 100% have to win the games against LV, DAL, LA, SEA, OTT, AZ. anything we can get out of the EDM, CAL, and MInn games would just increase our chances. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CanucksJay Posted April 11, 2022 Share Posted April 11, 2022 1 hour ago, VegasCanuck said: We have to be almost perfect, other teams have a lot more wiggle room. I think we need at least 95 points which means that we can only spare to drop about 3 points in the last 9 games. 7-1-1 gives us a good shot of getting in if our losses aren't against Vegas or LA We've done it before so hopefully we can do it again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Please sign in to comment
You will be able to leave a comment after signing in
Sign In Now