-DLC- Posted October 2, 2019 Share Posted October 2, 2019 Well I ain't signing up for squat then. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IBatch Posted October 2, 2019 Share Posted October 2, 2019 6 hours ago, ItTakesAnArmy said: It seems the predictions from two years ago were ridiculed for 8 or 9 pages but eventually were proven fairly accurate. There are always exceptions who knows for sure maybe Pettersson gets 120 points and Boeser scores 60+ goals, maybe Sutter lights up the lamp for 30+ or Schaller pots 25+, anything can happen heck even Tanev and Edler could play the whole season and both achieve 55 points. The shown estimate of the standings have a cluster of teams around the 26 mark so a margin of error might be +/- 4 spots, 22 to 30th with the curve closer to the 22 spot. Still not enough improvement overall though. The StLouis comment, remember they were a top team that had a bad 2 1/2 months, really bad time and after January they caught on fire, but they were a really good team that were really bad for a very short period of time. Oh ya, those predictions from two years ago came true, so did the years before and after. Well last year things didn’t really follow the script if you re-call, most experts had us second or third worst overall. That’s a 6-7 spot improvement, not exactly close - and a fair amount was written about that improvement too - one losing streak away from a wild card spot factually. Not everyone this year is on-board with us being a bottom dweller - leading the charge at TSN is Craig Button, he’s pretty well respected and not only believes that JB absolutely deserved his extension but also believes we are a playoff team this year. That puts us at least 16 ranked by him. Fantasy pool mags all make their own predictions too, this year the four big ones have us 4/5 in our division and either a wild card or bubble team. THN also ranks us fifth in our division and a bubble team, some of their staff (Larkin) actually believe we will win a cup with this team (and they are based in TO, imagine that). Last year we were ninth - and not a bubble team but not far from it. Do you honestly feel that a full year with a completely different roster (8 different players then the start of last year) all of them improvements - won’t push us up the 10-15 points we need to make it to the middle? I don’t. And neither do most of the guys making these predictions - id say the guys at athletic did a lazy job of it or have information (a time machine?) the rest of us don’t. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
-DLC- Posted October 2, 2019 Share Posted October 2, 2019 Predictions are dumb. No one can predict injuries and that's a huge factor. Sure, depth factors in and so you can project who can survive them better than other teams. But I like that no one ever has faith in our team...I'd rather they just all leave us alone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
-DLC- Posted October 2, 2019 Share Posted October 2, 2019 Let's just go with tonight's predictions to see if we should care: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlastPast Posted October 2, 2019 Share Posted October 2, 2019 5 hours ago, SabreFan1 said: There is no debate. You want to be spoon fed and then made an apples to oranges comparison after getting upset. Any serious conversation with you won't happen until I forget about this one. Fortunately my memory sucks when it comes to talking to people I haven't interacted with often so I'll probably forget this ridiculous conversation by tomorrow. I asked you a simple question and you couldn't even answer it. Once again..good Lord. Now go ahead and put me on ignore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ray_Cathode Posted October 3, 2019 Share Posted October 3, 2019 You gonna believe a guy who just throws up random letters for a name? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grape Posted October 3, 2019 Share Posted October 3, 2019 (edited) 2 hours ago, stawns said: The Canucks have been top 3 in injuries each of the last three years I believe. You can absolutely blame injuries if it's key, long term injuries year after year As I said, even given that being the case, you can't blame injuries when you literally have players that are naturally injury prone throughout the roster. Injuries aren't always just a matter of luck. It's a reason why the Sedins rarely got injured. Our for the past few years have been prone to injuries, especially soft tissue injuries, which are especially indicative to how injury prone a player is. It's part of the reason we weren't good, but you can't "blame" them and use it as argument that we should've been better and that the advanced stats were wrong. Edited October 3, 2019 by Grape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FireGillis Posted October 3, 2019 Share Posted October 3, 2019 I would not mind this prediction with how stacked the draft is this year. However, I also want Petey to get 100 points and win the hart trophy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jetliner Posted October 3, 2019 Share Posted October 3, 2019 hahahaa leafs at 2. haha ha ha 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amebushi Posted October 3, 2019 Share Posted October 3, 2019 What are the odds on this? Can I make a bet that the Canucks will finish better than 26th. I’d take that for a couple hundred bucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CDBudz55 Posted October 3, 2019 Share Posted October 3, 2019 Read the tweet gents. It says "updated daily' and shows the chances of winning the Stanley Cup. So as of right now the Canucks have 26th place chance of winning the cup. Once the season starts and teams start to do better the rankings will shift. I'm expecting them to just squeak into the playoffs this year personally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oldnews Posted October 3, 2019 Share Posted October 3, 2019 The what? Never read it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
erkayloomeh Posted October 3, 2019 Share Posted October 3, 2019 Given we are at the cap and waiting for some unfavorable contracts to be removed just in time for some of our good players to get raises, then I certainly hope they are wrong....... Or else what ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SabreFan1 Posted October 3, 2019 Share Posted October 3, 2019 1 hour ago, BlastPast said: I asked you a simple question and you couldn't even answer it. Once again..good Lord. Now go ahead and put me on ignore I'm an adult. If I wanted to ignore you, I would. I don't need to use the message board as an aide to accomplish it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SabreFan1 Posted October 3, 2019 Share Posted October 3, 2019 (edited) . Edited October 3, 2019 by SabreFan1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ghostsof1915 Posted October 3, 2019 Share Posted October 3, 2019 Didn't everyone get the playoffs and Stanley Cup wrong last year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbyg43 Posted October 3, 2019 Share Posted October 3, 2019 If they are right with prediction there will be staff turnover in management an coaching. However, this is not gonna be the narrative this year is legitimate playoff contending team. Barring injury Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SabreFan1 Posted October 3, 2019 Share Posted October 3, 2019 5 hours ago, mll said: He had them middle of the pack to start last season with a 50% probability of making the playoffs - 4th in the Central and 8th in the West on 3 October 2018. Nope. He had them at 5%-6% at the beginning of last year... The Canucks never made it past 21-22% the entire year... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oldnews Posted October 3, 2019 Share Posted October 3, 2019 7 hours ago, -AJ- said: To be fair, most pundits had us at dead last in 2018-19 with below 70 points. We finished quite a bit above that. Yeah - and those pundits were projecting what they thought of the healthy roster - and really, they got dummied by a M.A.S.H. team. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SabreFan1 Posted October 3, 2019 Share Posted October 3, 2019 3 hours ago, Warhippy said: We're still barely a bubble team but we're better than what they suggest. Toronto at 2nd with that defence blows this out of the water. I'd take their predictions to the nearest bookie and place $100 against it to make the playoffs There is no "their" or "they". It's just one analytics guy with a weighted model he came up with. His model actually didn't do that bad last year. Unfortunately for him, his model obviously doesn't have a "Maple Leafs yearly choke" equation built in. If the Canucks can avoid the giant injury bug this season (big if) I'll be surprised if they don't make the playoffs, especially if Markstrom begins this year with his second half of last season's form. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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