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What if we bought out OEL? (Updated June 16 2023)

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HKSR

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I think waiting another 3 seasons would be ideal if he can just play relatively OK. However, going ahead with the buyout after another 2 more seasons could work out fine as well and the most likely scenario.


3.5m savings in cap for his final 2 seasons and then only a penalty of 1.5m x 2years

 

0FBF32EB-BB75-4D7F-9DD4-AD8DE5C7A094.png

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2 hours ago, HKSR said:

A crazy idea, but what do things look like if we bought out OEL?

 

The cap hits are as follows:

2023-24:  $146,667

2024-25:  $2,346,667

2025-26:  $4,766,667

2026-27:  $4,766,667

2027-28:  $2,126,667

2028-29:  $2,126,667

2029-30:  $2,126,667

2030-31:  $2,126,667

 

I'm gonna assume the following:

- Trade Myers with $2M retained for nothing but a pick or prospect

- Trade Pearson with $1.2M retained for a pick or prospect

- Horvat re-signed at $8M AAV

- Kuzmenko re-signed at $7M AAV

- Various raises for the other pending FAs (Hoglander, Bear, etc)

 

 

Cap2029-30OELBuyout.jpg.9a1330b8e5aed8ea940741bfca46619f.jpg

Buys us some time to move Boeser later = more leverage in a deal. 

Would be a lot easier to find a solid shut down top 4 LHD.

 

Thoughts?

That defense looks worse than some AHL teams. 

Edited by Drakrami
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3 hours ago, HKSR said:

A crazy idea, but what do things look like if we bought out OEL?

 

The cap hits are as follows:

2023-24:  $146,667

2024-25:  $2,346,667

2025-26:  $4,766,667

2026-27:  $4,766,667

2027-28:  $2,126,667

2028-29:  $2,126,667

2029-30:  $2,126,667

2030-31:  $2,126,667

 

I'm gonna assume the following:

- Trade Myers with $2M retained for nothing but a pick or prospect

- Trade Pearson with $1.2M retained for a pick or prospect

- Horvat re-signed at $8M AAV

- Kuzmenko re-signed at $7M AAV

- Various raises for the other pending FAs (Hoglander, Bear, etc)

 

 

Cap2029-30OELBuyout.jpg.9a1330b8e5aed8ea940741bfca46619f.jpg

Buys us some time to move Boeser later = more leverage in a deal. 

Would be a lot easier to find a solid shut down top 4 LHD.

 

Thoughts?

 

More than anything I think this shows that they need to move Bo or Miller, ideally both. Even with OEL on the defense, that would like create more flexibility to balance out the line up. With that being said, any Bo or Miller trade would need to bring back a center asset (young player, prospect, or high draft pick)

 

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3 hours ago, EmilyM said:

If you think our D is bad now, imagine this exact team except our blueline is without both Myers and OEL while STILL being nearly capped out.

I am thinking about Rathbone and Burroughs full time

and Brisebous and Juulsen as 7-8

 

suddenly I am feeling a little queasy

 

also, Schenn is not signing for $1M next year

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He’s been inconsistent to pretty bad at times. Sometimes good.  Early in the season it was the Tyler Myers show so I dont put a ton of stock in that.  Lately it has been individual errors but Im hoping its just poor decision making that he can fix on his own.

 

I think a good first strategy is see if u can find a solid d partner for him and hope his play improves. 

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1 minute ago, Angry Goose said:

He’s been inconsistent to pretty bad at times. Sometimes good.  Early in the season it was the Tyler Myers show so I dont put a ton of stock in that.  Lately it has been individual errors but Im hoping its just poor decision making that he can fix on his own.

 

I think a good first strategy is see if u can find a solid d partner for him and hope his play improves. 

I said at the time and definitely still believe he was hurt for the first month and knew he couldn’t come out of the lineup with all the other injuries.  For the last two weeks he’s been their best dman

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6 minutes ago, stawns said:

I said at the time and definitely still believe he was hurt for the first month and knew he couldn’t come out of the lineup with all the other injuries.  For the last two weeks he’s been their best dman

He was really good last night especially.  He'd get what he's making or close to it as a UFA anyway.

 

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51 minutes ago, canuck73_3 said:

I really don't understand why people here can't figure out OEL is far from a problem.

They look at stats and it shows he's tied for 2nd worst +/- on the team at -9.

Some bad defensive plays lately, illustrate the problem.

If you look at the league he's in the same neighbourhood as Cam Fowler.

So once again. What on the team is broken?

Is it the defence?

Is it the defensive systems?

Is the forwards not back checking enough?

Is it the goaltending?

Is it all the above?

 

The real question is how do we go about fixing the problems? I don't think buying him out helps the team long term.

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We have no dead money on the books  next year for the first time in years.
 

Let’s keep it that way 

 

as much as OEL play has been enigmatic this season, we are stuck with him BUT we do need to a succession plan for him to play a 3rd pair role more regularly (:picard:

 

he only played 5 seconds more than stillman last night in SJ…the coaching staff is keeping him away for certain situations considering his limitations 

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